Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T09:39:25+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

33
0x334c…2dce
crypto · 303 markets active 1h ago
3.5score
+$26 +4%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$9 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$9
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)50%
Wins / losses153 / 150
Open positions0
Markets (closed)303 / 303
History coverage13d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day42.3
Drawdown82%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 303 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$10
7 days−$1
14 days+$9
30 days+$9
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Up 61¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Up 58¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Up 43¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Down 43¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Up 45¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Down 46¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Down 46¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Down 47¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Up 45¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Up 45¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Down 32¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Down 7¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Down 41¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Up 22¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Down 13¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$1 -32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +118%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$1 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$2 +181%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$2 +94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$4 +87%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$4 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$3 +74%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +74%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$2 +218%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +66%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$4 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +74%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$4 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +72%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +78%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$9
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET BUY Down 42¢ $1 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $1 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET BUY Up 9¢ $1 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET BUY Up 74¢ $1 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET SELL Down 92¢ $0 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET BUY Up 61¢ $1 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET SELL Down 53¢ $1 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET SELL Down 55¢ $1 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET BUY Down 38¢ $1 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET BUY Down 46¢ $1 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET SELL Up 70¢ $2 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET BUY Up 30¢ $1 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET BUY Down 12¢ $1 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET SELL Down 44¢ $1 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET BUY Down 40¢ $1 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET BUY Down 32¢ $1 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET SELL Up 69¢ $1 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $1 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Up 34¢ $1 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $1 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Up 45¢ $1 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $1 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $1 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Down 46¢ $1 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $1 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $1 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $1 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET SELL Up 94¢ $2 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $1 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $1 17h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +49%
net ROI/market (all)-5.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 237 +2.4% -7.3% 51% 50% -9.7%
≤30d 303 +4.1% -5.9% 50% 49% -8.3%
≤90d 303 +4.1% -5.9% 50% 49% -8.3%
all 303 +4.1% -5.9% 50% 49% -8.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover42.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -5.9% 49% -8.3%
10% ← realistic here -14.9% 48% -17.1%
15% -23.1% 47% -25.1%
20% -30.6% 47% -32.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 650 history records