Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T10:55:42+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

33
0x335b…4a3e
crypto · 17 markets active 0h ago
4.0score
−$82 -13%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$13 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$13
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)100%
Wins / losses1 / 0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1 / 17
History coverage1d
Avg bet$38
Trades / day40.0
Drawdown0%
Kalshi-fit65%
Chart Positions 0 History 1 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$13
7 days+$13
14 days+$13
30 days+$13
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 14 $36 +$13 +34%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 66% +$13
other 30% $0
politics 4% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 3¢ $24 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 3¢ $19 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 3¢ $18 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 2¢ $17 28m
BNB Up or Down - June 14, 6AM ET BUY Down 18¢ $9 33m
BNB Up or Down - June 14, 6AM ET BUY Down 18¢ $1 33m
BNB Up or Down - June 14, 6AM ET BUY Down 18¢ $0 33m
BNB Up or Down - June 14, 6AM ET BUY Down 17¢ $7 33m
BNB Up or Down - June 14, 6AM ET BUY Down 18¢ $1 33m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5AM ET BUY Down 6¢ $0 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5AM ET BUY Down 6¢ $0 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5AM ET BUY Down 6¢ $6 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5AM ET BUY Down 6¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5AM ET BUY Down 6¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 5AM ET BUY Down 2¢ $3 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5AM ET BUY Down 6¢ $3 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 5AM ET BUY Down 3¢ $2 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5AM ET BUY Down 5¢ $3 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 5AM ET BUY Down 7¢ $4 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 5AM ET BUY Down 9¢ $5 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 5AM ET BUY Down 8¢ $4 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 5AM ET BUY Down 8¢ $13 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 5AM ET BUY Down 28¢ $30 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 5AM ET BUY Down 27¢ $3 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 5AM ET BUY Down 34¢ $14 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Up 73¢ $36 1h
Will Diogo Costa win the Golden Glove at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 89¢ $44 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down on June 14? BUY Up 20¢ $10 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down on June 14? BUY Up 20¢ $10 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down on June 14? BUY Up 20¢ $10 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
insufficient sample — too few resolved markets to judge
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +100%
net ROI/market (all)+21.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1 +34.4% +21.6% 100% 100% +21.6%
≤30d 1 +34.4% +21.6% 100% 100% +21.6%
≤90d 1 +34.4% +21.6% 100% 100% +21.6%
all 1 +34.4% +21.6% 100% 100% +21.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover40.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to10%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +21.6% 100% +21.6%
10% ← realistic here +10.0% 100% +10.0%
15% -0.6% 0% -0.6%
20% -10.4% 0% -10.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 41 history records