trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 19 | -6.8% | -15.7% | 47% | 32% | -3.6% |
| ≤30d | 19 | -6.8% | -15.7% | 47% | 32% | -3.6% |
| ≤90d | 21 | -3.6% | -12.8% | 52% | 38% | -3.5% |
| all | 22 | -3.4% | -12.6% | 55% | 36% | -3.5% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -12.6% | 36% | -3.5% |
| 10% | -21.0% | 27% | -12.7% |
| 15% | -28.6% | 23% | -21.1% |
| 20% | -35.6% | 9% | -28.9% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Colombia win on 2026-06-17? | Yes | 71¢ | 70¢ | $245 | $243 | −$2 (-1%) |
| Will Panama win on 2026-06-17? | No | 72¢ | 68¢ | $50 | $48 | −$2 (-5%) |
| Will Uzbekistan vs. Colombia end in a draw? | Yes | 20¢ | 20¢ | $40 | $39 | −$1 (-2%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will England win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $203 | +$142 | +70% |
| Will Portugal vs. DR Congo end in a draw? | Jun 17 | $10 | +$14 | +140% |
| Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $10 | −$4 | -35% |
| Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $10 | −$1 | -10% |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18? | Jun 17 | $10 | −$1 | -9% |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? | Jun 17 | $30 | +$2 | +7% |
| Will England vs. Croatia end in a draw? | Jun 17 | $102 | −$100 | -98% |
| Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | Jun 17 | $7 | −$1 | -16% |
| Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential ele | Jun 17 | $460 | +$85 | +18% |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 17 | $40 | +$17 | +42% |
| Will France win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 16 | $30 | +$14 | +48% |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 16 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Will Spain win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 15 | $100 | −$32 | -32% |
| Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $41 | −$3 | -8% |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $100 | +$7 | +7% |
| Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 14 | $31 | −$31 | -100% |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 14 | $30 | −$30 | -100% |
| Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Jun 14 | $101 | +$8 | +8% |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 11 | $30 | +$13 | +41% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026? | Apr 22 | $10 | +$2 | +18% |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $90+ in March? | Apr 08 | $5 | +$2 | +35% |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 mee | Mar 09 | $1 | $0 | +1% |