trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | +0.6% | -9.0% | 100% | 0% | -9.0% |
| ≤30d | 2 | +0.6% | -9.0% | 100% | 0% | -9.0% |
| ≤90d | 4 | +1.6% | -8.1% | 100% | 0% | -8.1% |
| all | 20 | +6.0% | -4.1% | 95% | 5% | -3.7% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -4.1% | 5% | -3.7% |
| 10% | -13.2% | 5% | -12.9% |
| 15% | -21.6% | 5% | -21.3% |
| 20% | -29.3% | 5% | -29.0% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $49 | $49 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 20 | $49 | $0 | +1% |
| Will XRP reach $3.00 in May? | Jun 01 | $48 | $0 | +1% |
| Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 29°C on April 28? | May 08 | $48 | $0 | +0% |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31? | Apr 28 | $46 | +$2 | +5% |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 15? | Mar 20 | $45 | +$1 | +2% |
| Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 33°C or higher on Marc | Mar 13 | $43 | $0 | +1% |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 6? | Mar 03 | $4,373 | +$35 | +1% |
| US strike on Mexico by March 31? | Mar 03 | $1,372 | +$7 | +0% |
| Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from February 24 to | Mar 03 | $45 | −$5 | -11% |
| Will Ali Larijani be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? | Mar 02 | $564 | +$1 | +0% |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 2? | Mar 02 | $4,800 | +$26 | +0% |
| Will Solana reach $170 in February? | Mar 01 | $49 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Sabrina Carpenter perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show? | Feb 22 | $49 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on February 7? | Feb 09 | $2 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 71°F or below on February 6? | Feb 09 | $46 | $0 | +0% |
| US strikes Iran by February 5, 2026? | Feb 05 | $48 | $0 | +0% |
| US strikes Iran by February 4, 2026? | Feb 05 | $2,152 | +$2 | +0% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on February 5? | Feb 04 | $2,150 | +$2 | +0% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET | Feb 04 | $852 | +$1,018 | +119% |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C or higher on January 17 | Feb 04 | $32 | $0 | +0% |