trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 2 | -19.5% | -27.2% | 50% | 0% | -27.2% |
| ≤30d | 5 | -7.7% | -16.5% | 80% | 0% | -16.7% |
| ≤90d | 13 | -2.4% | -11.7% | 92% | 0% | -12.0% |
| all | 14 | -2.2% | -11.5% | 93% | 0% | -11.8% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -11.5% | 0% | -11.8% |
| 10% | -20.0% | 0% | -20.2% |
| 15% | -27.7% | 0% | -27.9% |
| 20% | -34.8% | 0% | -35.0% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Colombia win on 2026-06-17? | Yes | 71¢ | 72¢ | $341 | $348 | +$7 (+2%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $561 | −$219 | -39% |
| Will Israel and Lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026? | Jun 17 | $560 | +$1 | +0% |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on May 31? | Jun 01 | $525 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 26? | May 27 | $561 | +$1 | +0% |
| Will DeepSeek have the second highest estimated revenue for May 11–May | May 19 | $550 | +$1 | +0% |
| Will the price of Solana be above $130 on May 8? | May 09 | $560 | +$1 | +0% |
| Will Xiaomi have the best AI model at the end of April 2026? | May 01 | $259 | +$1 | +0% |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of April 2026? | May 01 | $300 | $0 | +0% |
| Will fewer than 10 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 13 | Apr 22 | $559 | +$1 | +0% |
| Thunder vs. Clippers | Apr 09 | $553 | +$5 | +1% |
| Hawks vs. Magic | Apr 03 | $553 | +$1 | +0% |
| Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March? | Apr 01 | $552 | +$1 | +0% |
| LoL: Gen.G vs LYON - Game 2 Winner | Mar 20 | $525 | +$28 | +5% |
| Suns vs. Pacers | Mar 13 | $522 | +$3 | +0% |