Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T05:43:48+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

33
0x3389…2411
weather · 208 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$63 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$171 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$171
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)40%
Wins / losses83 / 125
Whale WR (big bets)46%
Est. fees paid−$12
Open positions0
Markets (closed)208 / 208
History coverage635d
Avg bet$262
Trades / day2.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit69%
Chart Positions 0 History 208 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$93
7 days+$111
14 days+$109
30 days+$109
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 9? Yes 9¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Over 47¢ 0¢ $29 $0 −$29 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 9? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BetBoom Team 38¢ 0¢ $39 $0 −$39 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 10? Yes 12¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on June 7? Yes 3¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 36°C or higher on June 5? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Over 47¢ 0¢ $48 $0 −$48 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 35°C on June 5? Yes 1¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 9? Yes 2¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) Switzerland 58¢ 0¢ $24 $0 −$24 (-100%)
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Under 48¢ 0¢ $34 $0 −$34 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw? Jun 14 $13 −$11 -85%
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? Jun 14 $73 −$72 -98%
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 2.5 Jun 14 $38 −$5 -12%
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Jun 14 $4 +$6 +134%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $41 +$59 +143%
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) Jun 13 $24 −$24 -99%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $49 −$48 -98%
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 13 $39 −$39 -98%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $98 +$99 +102%
Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs Legacy (+1.5) Jun 12 $5 +$3 +59%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $29 −$29 -98%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $34 −$34 -100%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: Both Teams to Score Jun 12 $82 +$78 +95%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5 Jun 11 $57 +$43 +75%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $30 +$22 +73%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 2.5 Jun 11 $6 $0 -4%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $35 +$21 +61%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 11 $10 −$3 -27%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $12 −$6 -51%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $105 +$43 +41%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major S Jun 11 $29 −$3 -10%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on June 11? Jun 11 $12 +$4 +30%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on June 11? Jun 11 $2 −$1 -79%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 10? Jun 10 $2 +$1 +32%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 10? Jun 10 $4 −$4 -96%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 10? Jun 10 $12 $0 -1%
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 09 $20 +$16 +79%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on June 9? Jun 09 $3 +$12 +350%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 9? Jun 09 $1 −$1 -99%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 9? Jun 09 $2 −$1 -61%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 9? Jun 09 $3 −$3 -96%
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $3 −$2 -65%
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on June 8? Jun 08 $4 −$2 -55%
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 31°C on June 5? Jun 07 $16 −$7 -45%
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on June 7? Jun 07 $3 −$3 -99%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 6? Jun 06 $70 +$3 +4%
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 35°C on June 5? Jun 05 $5 −$5 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on June 5? Jun 05 $8 −$7 -94%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 5? Jun 05 $50 +$8 +16%
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 36°C or higher on June 5? Jun 05 $1 −$1 -100%
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? May 14 $36 −$9 -26%
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on April 23? Apr 23 $6 −$6 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on April 23? Apr 23 $22 −$7 -31%
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 22°C on April 22? Apr 22 $2 +$1 +88%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 17°C on April 22? Apr 22 $244 −$18 -7%
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 17°C on April 21? Apr 21 $27 +$5 +18%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 16°C on April 21? Apr 21 $58 +$5 +9%
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on April 21? Apr 21 $135 +$14 +11%
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on April 21? Apr 21 $55 −$17 -30%
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 19°C on April 21? Apr 21 $40 −$16 -39%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 41% +$264
weather 30% −$205
politics 16% −$11
economics 5% +$1
world 4% −$415
sports 1% +$83
tech 1% +$68
finance 1% −$9
crypto 1% +$28
culture 0% +$26
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw? SELL Yes 5¢ $2 8m
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? SELL Yes 1¢ $1 8m
Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw? BUY Yes 32¢ $13 10m
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 28¢ $6 1h
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 51¢ $26 1h
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 2.5 SELL Under 42¢ $34 4h
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 43¢ $13 4h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? SELL No 100¢ $10 5h
Games Total: O/U 2.5 SELL Over 99¢ $101 15h
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) BUY Switzerland 60¢ $6 18h
Games Total: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 47¢ $49 24h
Games Total: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 40¢ $41 24h
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage BUY BetBoom Team 38¢ $39 24h
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 57¢ $41 25h
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 48¢ $25 25h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 42¢ $4 25h
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) BUY Switzerland 58¢ $18 25h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 98¢ $197 27h
Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs Legacy (+1.5) SELL Natus Vincere 100¢ $8 37h
Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs Legacy (+1.5) BUY Natus Vincere 62¢ $5 38h
Games Total: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 47¢ $29 38h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 47¢ $24 42h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 48¢ $25 43h
Games Total: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 48¢ $5 44h
Games Total: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 48¢ $5 44h
Games Total: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 48¢ $15 44h
Games Total: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 49¢ $10 44h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 48¢ $50 44h
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: Both Teams to Score SELL Yes 99¢ $161 2d
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 47¢ $10 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +20%
net ROI/market (all)-14.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 35 -7.4% -16.2% 37% 37% +1.8%
≤30d 40 -13.3% -21.5% 38% 35% +0.2%
≤90d 119 -8.3% -17.0% 44% 22% -9.0%
all 208 -5.5% -14.5% 40% 20% -9.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover2.5 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -14.5% 20% -9.8%
10% -22.7% 14% -18.4%
15% -30.2% 12% -26.3%
20% -37.0% 10% -33.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1627 history records