Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T12:03:00+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
33 0x338a…4f9b crypto 1593 markets active 1h ago coverage 26d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 25d only
✗ bot/MM pace (76 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL +$63 (+1%) realized +$63 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -0% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -23% what you keep after slip
Net edge-23%after slip
Net WR39%break-even
Win rate79%1260W / 333L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$3per market
Trades / day75.7pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$7
7 days−$12
14 days−$1
30 days−$63
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$63
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (76 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +39%
net ROI/market (all)-9.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 221 -1.4% -10.8% 83% 27% -11.3%
≤30d 1593 -0.2% -9.7% 79% 39% -10.6%
≤90d 1593 -0.2% -9.7% 79% 39% -10.6%
all 1593 -0.2% -9.7% 79% 39% -10.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover75.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.7% 39% -10.6%
10% ← realistic here -18.3% 15% -19.1%
15% -26.2% 4% -26.9%
20% -33.4% 1% -34.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 1% · top 2 2% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -1% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
47% wins margin < slip thin win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -0% · $-wt -1% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -1% → late +1% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.0 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$0 vs −$2 · ×0.23 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.89 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

26d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$63
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)79%
Wins / losses1260 / 333
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1593 / 1593
History coverage26d ⚠
Avg bet$3
Trades / day75.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1593 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 17 $1 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 17 $2 $0 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 17 $2 −$1 -45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 17 $2 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 17 $2 −$1 -46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 17 $2 −$1 -55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 17 $2 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 17 $2 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 17 $2 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 17 $2 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 17 $2 $0 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 17 $2 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 17 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 17 $2 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 17 $2 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 17 $1 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 17 $1 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 17 $1 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 17 $2 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 17 $2 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 16 $2 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 16 $2 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 16 $2 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 16 $2 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 16 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 16 $2 −$1 -39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 16 $2 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 16 $2 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 16 $2 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 16 $2 $0 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 16 $2 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 16 $2 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 16 $2 −$1 -46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 16 $2 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 16 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 16 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 16 $2 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 16 $2 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 16 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 16 $2 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 16 $2 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 16 $2 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 16 $2 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 16 $2 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 16 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 16 $2 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 16 $2 −$1 -42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 16 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 16 $2 $0 +6%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $1 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET BUY Up 88¢ $2 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET SELL Down 48¢ $1 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Down 90¢ $2 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET SELL Up 46¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET SELL Up 46¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET BUY Up 88¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Down 91¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Down 92¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET BUY Down 89¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET BUY Up 85¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $2 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $1 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $1 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $1 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $2 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $2 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $2 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $2 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $2 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $2 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $2 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET SELL Up 51¢ $1 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $2 16h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records