trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 6 | -35.7% | -41.9% | 50% | 33% | -18.9% |
| ≤30d | 26 | -9.7% | -18.3% | 69% | 35% | -9.9% |
| ≤90d | 36 | -10.3% | -18.8% | 67% | 39% | -6.3% |
| all | 36 | -10.3% | -18.8% | 67% | 39% | -6.3% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -18.8% | 39% | -6.3% |
| 10% | -26.6% | 25% | -15.2% |
| 15% | -33.7% | 14% | -23.4% |
| 20% | -40.2% | 11% | -30.9% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will England win on 2026-06-27? | Yes | 85¢ | 82¢ | $1,000 | $971 | −$29 (-3%) |
| Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season? | No | 92¢ | 90¢ | $619 | $600 | −$18 (-3%) |
| President Trump to Attend World Cup Final? | Yes | 86¢ | 88¢ | $172 | $177 | +$5 (+3%) |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 18¢ | 22¢ | $20 | $23 | +$3 (+17%) |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 12¢ | 15¢ | $12 | $16 | +$3 (+26%) |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 14¢ | 14¢ | $14 | $14 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 13¢ | 10¢ | $14 | $11 | −$3 (-21%) |
| Will Puma be the shirt manufacturer of the 2026 FIFA World Cup Champion? | No | 89¢ | 92¢ | $10 | $10 | +$0 (+3%) |
| Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 3¢ | 3¢ | $10 | $9 | −$1 (-6%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will United States win on 2026-06-25? | Jun 26 | $151 | −$150 | -99% |
| South Africa vs. Korea Republic: South Africa O/U 1.5 | Jun 25 | $450 | +$50 | +11% |
| Will Neymar play in the World Cup? | Jun 25 | $1,627 | +$163 | +10% |
| Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21? | Jun 21 | $593 | −$289 | -49% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026? | Jun 20 | $99 | −$99 | -100% |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-19? | Jun 20 | $101 | +$13 | +13% |
| Will Colombia win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 18 | $201 | +$24 | +12% |
| Will Austria win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $100 | −$42 | -42% |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 17 | $1,301 | +$47 | +4% |
| Will Lionel Messi play in the World Cup? | Jun 17 | $1,681 | +$38 | +2% |
| Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix? | Jun 14 | $101 | +$33 | +32% |
| Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Jun 14 | $26 | +$7 | +26% |
| Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 14 | $201 | +$65 | +32% |
| SpaceX IPO: Officially added to Nasdaq-100 in 2026? | Jun 14 | $223 | +$2 | +1% |
| SpaceX IPO: Will Elon Musk Ring the Bell? | Jun 12 | $109 | −$109 | -100% |
| Spurs vs. Knicks | Jun 11 | $1 | +$1 | +134% |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra | Jun 08 | $500 | +$37 | +7% |
| Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's French Open? | Jun 07 | $7 | +$4 | +57% |
| Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix? | Jun 07 | $48 | −$42 | -88% |
| Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Flavio Cobolli | Jun 03 | $51 | −$50 | -98% |
| Roland Garros ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Alexander Zverev | Jun 02 | $578 | +$53 | +9% |
| Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Alejandro Tabilo | Jun 01 | $62 | +$38 | +62% |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra | May 31 | $1,372 | +$27 | +2% |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026? | May 31 | $2,661 | +$78 | +3% |
| Spurs vs. Thunder | May 31 | $1 | −$1 | -95% |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31? | May 31 | $2,703 | +$37 | +1% |
| Thunder vs. Spurs | May 25 | $15 | −$15 | -98% |
| Knicks vs. Cavaliers | May 24 | $160 | +$25 | +16% |
| Thunder vs. Spurs | May 23 | $236 | −$31 | -13% |
| Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 225.5 | May 23 | $152 | −$110 | -73% |
| Cavaliers vs. Knicks | May 22 | $271 | +$28 | +10% |
| Spread: Spurs (-3.5) | May 21 | $201 | +$24 | +12% |
| Cavaliers vs. Knicks | May 20 | $11 | −$9 | -84% |
| Spread: Thunder (-7.5) | May 19 | $9 | +$2 | +23% |
| Cavaliers vs. Pistons | May 18 | $7 | +$2 | +36% |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar? | Apr 12 | $1,371 | +$777 | +57% |