trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 on June 3? | Jun 04 | $1 | −$1 | -94% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET | Jun 04 | $31 | −$31 | -100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET | Jun 04 | $31 | −$5 | -16% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET | Jun 04 | $10 | −$10 | -98% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET | May 31 | $5 | $0 | +3% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET | May 31 | $5 | $0 | +1% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤30d | 6 | -66.1% | -69.3% | 33% | 0% | -83.8% |
| ≤90d | 6 | -66.1% | -69.3% | 33% | 0% | -83.8% |
| all | 6 | -66.1% | -69.3% | 33% | 0% | -83.8% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -69.3% | 0% | -83.8% |
| 10% | -72.2% | 0% | -85.4% |
| 15% | -74.9% | 0% | -86.8% |
| 20% | -77.4% | 0% | -88.1% |