Wallet analysis

2026-06-15T23:02:07+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
33 0x33d7…1459 crypto 1676 markets active 0h ago coverage 30d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 30d only
✗ bot/MM pace (60 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage
Total PnL +$276 (+0%) realized +$276 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +0% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -23% what you keep after slip
Net edge-23%after slip
Net WR1%break-even
Win rate98%1645W / 31L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$88per market
Trades / day59.8pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$89
7 days−$384
14 days+$52
30 days+$158
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$161
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (60 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +1%
net ROI/market (all)-9.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 333 -0.6% -10.1% 97% 1% -10.1%
≤30d 1659 +0.5% -9.1% 98% 1% -9.4%
≤90d 1676 +0.5% -9.1% 98% 1% -9.4%
all 1676 +0.5% -9.1% 98% 1% -9.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover59.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.1% 1% -9.4%
10% ← realistic here -17.8% 0% -18.1%
15% -25.7% 0% -26.0%
20% -33.0% 0% -33.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 1% · top 2 2% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +0% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
98% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +1% · $-wt +0% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +1% → late +0% edge persists early→late
Add-ons / DCA
1.1 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$2 vs −$103 · ×0.02 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×1.05 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

30d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$276
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)98%
Wins / losses1645 / 31
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1676 / 1676
History coverage30d ⚠
Avg bet$88
Trades / day59.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1676 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 15 $198 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 15 $195 +$5 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 15 $198 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 15 $198 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 15 $198 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 15 $198 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 15 $192 +$8 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 15 $198 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 15 $198 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 15 $193 +$7 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 15 $198 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 15 $198 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 15 $197 +$3 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 15 $198 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 15 $198 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 15 $198 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 15 $197 +$3 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 15 $198 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 15 $198 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 15 $196 +$4 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 15 $196 +$4 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 15 $198 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 15 $198 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 15 $198 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 15 $197 +$3 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 15 $198 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 15 $198 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 15 $198 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 15 $198 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 15 $191 +$9 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 15 $198 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 15 $197 +$3 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 15 $193 +$7 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 15 $198 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 15 $198 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 15 $198 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 15 $198 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 15 $196 +$4 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 15 $198 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 15 $196 +$4 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 14 $195 +$5 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 14 $190 +$10 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 14 $198 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 14 $198 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 14 $198 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 14 $198 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 14 $198 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 14 $198 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 14 $198 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 14 $196 +$4 +2%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $198 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $195 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $198 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $198 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $198 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $198 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $192 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $198 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $198 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $193 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $198 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $198 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $197 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $198 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $198 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $198 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $197 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $198 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $198 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $196 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $196 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $198 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $198 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $198 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $197 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $198 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $198 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $198 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $198 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $191 17h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records