Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T10:29:42+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

33
0x33d8…cdab
crypto · 9 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$2 -9%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$2 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Chart Positions 0 History 9 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$2
7 days−$2
14 days−$2
30 days−$2
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Down 77¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Up 17¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$1 -20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 10 $3 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 10 $4 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +13%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET SELL Down $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Down 22¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET SELL Up 50¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET SELL Up 60¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET SELL Up 66¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET SELL Down 43¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET BUY Down 45¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET SELL Down 52¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET BUY Down 33¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET SELL Up 52¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET BUY Up 62¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET SELL Up 49¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET SELL Down 51¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET BUY Down 34¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET SELL Down 28¢ $1 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Down 36¢ $1 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET SELL Down 41¢ $1 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Down 35¢ $1 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET BUY Up 17¢ $1 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET SELL Up 52¢ $1 37h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $1 37h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET SELL Down 55¢ $1 37h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET BUY Down 45¢ $1 37h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET SELL Up 50¢ $1 37h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $1 37h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET SELL Up 67¢ $1 37h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +22%
net ROI/market (all)-26.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 9 -18.4% -26.2% 56% 22% -16.8%
≤30d 9 -18.4% -26.2% 56% 22% -16.8%
≤90d 9 -18.4% -26.2% 56% 22% -16.8%
all 9 -18.4% -26.2% 56% 22% -16.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover25.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -26.2% 22% -16.8%
10% ← realistic here -33.3% 11% -24.8%
15% -39.7% 11% -32.0%
20% -45.6% 0% -38.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 40 history records