trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 23 | +94.5% | +76.0% | 43% | 43% | +55.3% |
| ≤30d | 23 | +94.5% | +76.0% | 43% | 43% | +55.3% |
| ≤90d | 23 | +94.5% | +76.0% | 43% | 43% | +55.3% |
| all | 27 | +65.7% | +49.9% | 37% | 37% | +53.2% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +49.9% | 37% | +53.2% |
| 10% | +35.6% | 37% | +38.5% |
| 15% | +22.5% | 37% | +25.2% |
| 20% | +10.5% | 26% | +12.9% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Exact Score: Portugal 3 - 0 DR Congo? | Yes | 12¢ | 12¢ | $20 | $21 | +$1 (+4%) |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 8¢ | 11¢ | $10 | $14 | +$4 (+39%) |
| Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-18? | Yes | 62¢ | 64¢ | $10 | $10 | +$0 (+2%) |
| Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-18? | Yes | 23¢ | 24¢ | $10 | $10 | +$0 (+2%) |
| Will Czechia vs. South Africa end in a draw? | Yes | 25¢ | 26¢ | $10 | $10 | +$0 (+2%) |
| Will Croatia win on 2026-06-17? | Yes | 19¢ | 18¢ | $10 | $9 | −$1 (-8%) |
| Exact Score: Portugal 3 - 1 DR Congo? | Yes | 9¢ | 8¢ | $10 | $8 | −$2 (-17%) |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 17¢ | 13¢ | $10 | $8 | −$2 (-21%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Exact Score: Austria 2 - 0 Jordan? | Jun 17 | $20 | −$20 | -98% |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 17 | $10 | +$4 | +40% |
| Will France win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 16 | $10 | +$5 | +48% |
| Will Algeria win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 16 | $10 | −$10 | -97% |
| Will IR Iran vs. New Zealand end in a draw? | Jun 16 | $10 | +$25 | +250% |
| Will Iraq vs. Norway end in a draw? | Jun 16 | $21 | −$20 | -98% |
| Will Spain vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw? | Jun 15 | $5 | +$76 | +1469% |
| Will Egypt win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 15 | $10 | −$10 | -98% |
| Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 15 | $10 | −$10 | -98% |
| Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 15 | $5 | −$5 | -97% |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 15 | $30 | −$30 | -99% |
| Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? AND Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $26 | +$159 | +621% |
| Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $21 | −$20 | -97% |
| Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $10 | +$45 | +442% |
| Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 14 | $10 | +$6 | +60% |
| Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 14 | $10 | −$10 | -99% |
| Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? | Jun 14 | $10 | +$30 | +291% |
| SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T? | Jun 12 | $10 | −$6 | -59% |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 12 | $10 | −$10 | -98% |
| Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 12 | $15 | +$26 | +172% |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 11 | $10 | +$4 | +42% |
| Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 11 | $10 | −$10 | -97% |
| Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 11 | $10 | −$10 | -98% |
| Will OpenSea launch a token by March 31, 2026? | Feb 12 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? | Jan 16 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? | Jan 16 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting? | Jan 16 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |