Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T04:59:55+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

33
0x33ef…c0b3
crypto · 45 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$14 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$26 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$4
Realized+$26
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)66%
Wins / losses29 / 15
Open positions1
Markets (closed)44 / 45
History coverage4d
Avg bet$21
Trades / day70.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit98%
Chart Positions 1 History 44 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$36
7 days+$26
14 days+$26
30 days+$26
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? No 87¢ 76¢ $5 $4 −$1 (-13%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Up 68¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Up 58¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Up 5¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Up 34¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Up 98¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Down 34¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 14 $15 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 14 $10 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 14 $46 +$2 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 14 $29 +$4 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 14 $24 +$6 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 14 $22 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 14 $18 +$12 +69%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 14 $13 −$13 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 14 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 14 $16 +$14 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 14 $21 +$8 +39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 14 $36 +$12 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 14 $61 +$3 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 14 $15 +$2 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 14 $51 −$2 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 14 $26 +$3 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$2 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 14 $31 +$2 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 14 $21 +$4 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 14 $15 −$4 -24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$3 +51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 14 $30 +$3 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 14 $11 −$5 -44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 14 $16 −$1 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 14 $10 −$5 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 14 $18 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 14 $16 −$4 -26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 14 $31 −$7 -23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 14 $41 −$1 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 14 $20 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 14 $21 +$3 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 14 $56 +$3 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 14 $30 +$3 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 14 $20 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 14 $15 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 14 $25 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 14 $10 $0 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 14 $15 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 11 $15 −$10 -64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 11 $10 −$5 -48%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $13 +$5 +40%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 98% +$21
other 1% +$5
world 1% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET SELL Down 92¢ $5 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET BUY Down 88¢ $5 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET SELL Down 92¢ $6 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET BUY Down 80¢ $5 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET SELL Down 73¢ $5 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET BUY Down 66¢ $5 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET SELL Up 97¢ $10 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $5 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $5 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $5 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $5 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET SELL Down 92¢ $5 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET BUY Down 87¢ $5 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET SELL Down 90¢ $6 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET BUY Down 81¢ $5 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET SELL Down 88¢ $10 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET BUY Down 84¢ $5 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET BUY Down 84¢ $5 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET SELL Down 77¢ $10 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $5 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET BUY Down 71¢ $5 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET SELL Down 73¢ $11 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET BUY Down 63¢ $5 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET BUY Down 63¢ $5 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET SELL Down 95¢ $10 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET BUY Down 93¢ $5 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $5 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET SELL Down 91¢ $11 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET BUY Down 86¢ $5 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET BUY Down 81¢ $5 51m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +30%
net ROI/market (all)-21.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 44 -13.6% -21.9% 66% 30% -6.7%
≤30d 44 -13.6% -21.9% 66% 30% -6.7%
≤90d 44 -13.6% -21.9% 66% 30% -6.7%
all 44 -13.6% -21.9% 66% 30% -6.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover70.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -21.9% 30% -6.7%
10% ← realistic here -29.3% 18% -15.6%
15% -36.2% 14% -23.8%
20% -42.4% 7% -31.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $4.36 · official $4.36 (match) · 301 history records