Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T19:53:28+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

33
0x33f8…4da6
crypto · 30 markets active 0h ago
2.0score
+$3 +4%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$3 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$3
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)53%
Wins / losses16 / 14
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)30 / 30
History coverage2d
Avg bet$3
Trades / day25.4
Drawdown71%
Kalshi-fit97%
Chart Positions 0 History 30 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$2
7 days+$4
14 days+$4
30 days+$4
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will US announce location or date of US and Iran deal signing by June 13, 2026? No 5¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Down 61¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Up 25¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Down 47¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Up 37¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Up 45¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Down 68¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Down 36¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Will US announce location or date of US and Iran deal signing by June Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$1 -47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$5 -49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$3 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 13 $7 −$2 -26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 13 $7 +$2 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$2 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$2 -33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +110%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 11 $2 +$3 +124%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 11 $2 +$1 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 11 $2 +$2 +93%
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $2 −$1 -48%
Mexico vs. South Africa: Both Teams to Score Jun 11 $1 $0 -31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 11 $2 +$4 +173%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -95%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 95% +$6
other 3% −$1
world 1% −$1
sports 1% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Up 37¢ $1 26m
Will US announce location or date of US and Iran deal signing by June BUY No 5¢ $1 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET SELL Down 53¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Down 68¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Down 68¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET SELL Up 22¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Up 64¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET SELL Down 47¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET BUY Down 43¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET SELL Up 37¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET BUY Up 59¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $5 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET SELL Up 26¢ $1 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET BUY Up 64¢ $2 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $2 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $2 29h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET SELL Up 37¢ $4 29h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $5 29h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $1 29h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $1 32h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $1 34h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET SELL Down 2¢ $0 34h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET BUY Down 31¢ $1 34h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET BUY Up 43¢ $1 45h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET BUY Up 43¢ $1 45h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Up 45¢ $1 46h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $1 46h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +53%
net ROI/market (all)-8.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 30 +1.1% -8.5% 53% 53% -4.3%
≤30d 30 +1.1% -8.5% 53% 53% -4.3%
≤90d 30 +1.1% -8.5% 53% 53% -4.3%
all 30 +1.1% -8.5% 53% 53% -4.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover25.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -8.5% 53% -4.3%
10% ← realistic here -17.3% 43% -13.5%
15% -25.3% 40% -21.9%
20% -32.6% 33% -29.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 76 history records