Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T08:04:52+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

33
0x33fa…abca
sports · 38 markets active 2h ago
2.5score
+$6 +9%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$5 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFresh edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$3
Realized+$5
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)51%
Wins / losses18 / 17
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions3
Markets (closed)35 / 38
History coverage106d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day0.7
Drawdown86%
Kalshi-fit89%
Chart Positions 3 History 35 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$1
7 days−$1
14 days+$2
30 days+$4
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? Yes 48¢ 48¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14? Yes 38¢ 38¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14? Yes 51¢ 50¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-3%)
Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Sunrisers Hyderabad Mumbai Indians 52¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Rajasthan Royals Punjab Kings 57¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Yes 54¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -99%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $1 $0 +42%
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bengaluru vs Gujarat Titans May 31 $3 +$2 +86%
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Rajasthan Royals May 29 $1 +$1 +109%
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bangalore vs Kolkata Knight R May 16 $2 +$2 +79%
Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Sunrisers Hyderabad Apr 28 $1 −$1 -99%
Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Rajasthan Royals Apr 28 $1 −$1 -99%
Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Punjab Kings Apr 25 $1 +$1 +70%
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bangalore vs Gujarat Titans Apr 24 $1 +$1 +67%
Indian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Kolkata Knight Riders Apr 20 $2 −$1 -49%
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Rajasthan Royals Apr 20 $3 −$1 -20%
Indian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Delhi Capitals Apr 20 $1 −$1 -100%
Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Rajasthan Royals Apr 20 $1 −$1 -100%
Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Lucknow Super Giants Apr 20 $2 +$1 +60%
Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Royal Challengers Bangalore Apr 12 $2 $0 -9%
Pakistan Super League: Hyderabad Kingsmen vs Islamabad United Apr 12 $1 +$1 +73%
Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Gujarat Titans Apr 12 $2 −$1 -36%
Pakistan Super League: Karachi Kings vs Hyderabad Kingsmen Apr 11 $1 +$1 +52%
Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Sunrisers Hyderabad Apr 11 $1 +$2 +165%
Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Royal Challengers Bangalore Apr 10 $2 $0 +10%
Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Lucknow Super Giants Apr 09 $1 $0 -2%
Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Mumbai Indians Apr 07 $1 −$1 -100%
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Rajasthan Royals Apr 07 $4 +$1 +26%
ODI Series Australia vs India, Women: Australia vs India Apr 04 $1 −$1 -100%
Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Chennai Super Kings Apr 04 $1 −$1 -100%
T20 World Cup: India vs New Zealand Apr 04 $1 −$1 -100%
T20 World Cup: South Africa vs New Zealand Apr 04 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 1, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET Apr 04 $1 −$1 -100%
Indian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Punjab Kings Apr 04 $6 +$5 +83%
Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Sunrisers Hyderabad Apr 03 $7 $0 +5%
Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Delhi Capitals Apr 02 $5 +$1 +20%
Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Gujarat Titans Mar 31 $1 −$1 -74%
Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Kolkata Knight Riders Mar 29 $2 +$1 +27%
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bengaluru vs Sunrisers Hydera Mar 28 $2 +$1 +29%
T20 World Cup: Sri Lanka vs Pakistan Feb 28 $1 $0 +18%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 91% +$7
other 6% −$1
crypto 3% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 51¢ $1 1h
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 38¢ $1 1h
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 48¢ $1 1h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 54¢ $1 41h
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 70¢ $1 2d
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bengaluru vs Gujarat Titans BUY Royal Challengers Bengaluru 53¢ $3 14d
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Rajasthan Royals BUY Gujarat Titans 47¢ $1 16d
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bangalore vs Kolkata Knight R BUY Royal Challengers Bangalore 55¢ $2 32d
Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Sunrisers Hyderabad BUY Mumbai Indians 52¢ $1 47d
Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Rajasthan Royals BUY Punjab Kings 57¢ $1 47d
Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Punjab Kings BUY Punjab Kings 58¢ $1 50d
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bangalore vs Gujarat Titans BUY Royal Challengers Bangalore 59¢ $1 50d
Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Lucknow Super Giants BUY Punjab Kings 62¢ $2 55d
Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Rajasthan Royals BUY Rajasthan Royals 60¢ $1 55d
Indian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Kolkata Knight Riders BUY Kolkata Knight Riders 47¢ $1 60d
Indian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Kolkata Knight Riders SELL Chennai Super Kings 56¢ $1 60d
Indian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Kolkata Knight Riders BUY Chennai Super Kings 54¢ $1 60d
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Rajasthan Royals BUY Rajasthan Royals 58¢ $1 61d
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Rajasthan Royals SELL Sunrisers Hyderabad 42¢ $1 61d
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Rajasthan Royals BUY Sunrisers Hyderabad 31¢ $1 61d
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Rajasthan Royals SELL Rajasthan Royals 68¢ $1 61d
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Rajasthan Royals BUY Rajasthan Royals 63¢ $1 61d
Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Royal Challengers Bangalore SELL Mumbai Indians 6¢ $0 62d
Pakistan Super League: Hyderabad Kingsmen vs Islamabad United SELL Hyderabad Kingsmen 88¢ $2 62d
Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Royal Challengers Bangalore BUY Mumbai Indians 29¢ $1 62d
Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Royal Challengers Bangalore SELL Royal Challengers Bangalore 71¢ $2 62d
Pakistan Super League: Hyderabad Kingsmen vs Islamabad United BUY Hyderabad Kingsmen 50¢ $1 62d
Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Royal Challengers Bangalore BUY Royal Challengers Bangalore 43¢ $1 62d
Pakistan Super League: Karachi Kings vs Hyderabad Kingsmen SELL Hyderabad Kingsmen 77¢ $2 63d
Indian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Delhi Capitals BUY Delhi Capitals 35¢ $1 63d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +46%
net ROI/market (all)-16.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 2 -29.2% -35.9% 50% 50% -35.7%
≤30d 5 +43.3% +29.6% 80% 80% +41.7%
≤90d 34 -8.4% -17.1% 50% 44% -2.3%
all 35 -7.7% -16.5% 51% 46% -2.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover0.7 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -16.5% 46% -2.2%
10% -24.5% 40% -11.5%
15% -31.8% 31% -20.1%
20% -38.4% 29% -27.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $2.95 · official $2.95 (match) · 95 history records