Wallet analysis

2026-06-27T01:43:33+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
33 0x33ff…2fe3 crypto 474 markets active 1h ago coverage 2d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 1d onlyP/L from Polymarket (history capped)
✗ bot/MM pace (1653 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ on-chain reconstruction ≠ official P&L (longshot/capped history)✗ only 2d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL +$2,363 (+4%) realized +$2,363 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -48% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -60% what you keep after slip
Net edge-60%after slip
Net WR23%break-even
Win rate27%249W / 681L
Whale WR60%big bets
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$113per market
Trades / day1653.5pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$4now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 2d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$7,384
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (1653 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +23%
net ROI/market (all)-52.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 930 -48.0% -52.9% 27% 23% -13.0%
≤30d 930 -48.0% -52.9% 27% 23% -13.0%
≤90d 930 -48.0% -52.9% 27% 23% -13.0%
all 930 -48.0% -52.9% 27% 23% -13.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover1653.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -52.9% 23% -13.0%
10% ← realistic here -57.4% 20% -21.3%
15% -61.6% 17% -28.9%
20% -65.3% 15% -35.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 4% · top 2 7% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -4% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
13% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -48% · $-wt -4% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR 60% (≥$500) strong on big bets
Persistence
early +2% → late -98% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
6.5 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$72 vs −$30 · ×2.42 wins bigger than losses
Profit factor
×0.88 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

2d coverage
Net worth$4
Realized+$2,363
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)27%
Wins / losses249 / 681
Whale WR (big bets)60%
Open positions0
Markets (closed)930 / 474
History coverage2d ⚠
Avg bet$113
Trades / day1653.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 930 Trades
no open positions (500 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 27 $1 $0 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 27 $0 $0 +78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 27 $28 −$28 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 27 $0 $0 +37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 27 $0 $0 +257%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 27 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 27 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 27 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 27 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 27 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 27 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 27 $34 −$34 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 27 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 27 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 27 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 27 $42 −$42 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 27 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 27 $96 −$96 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 27 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 27 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 27 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 27 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 27 $38 −$38 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 27 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 27 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 27 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 27 $34 −$34 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 27 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 27 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 27 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 27 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 27 $63 −$63 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 27 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 27 $55 −$55 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 27 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 27 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 27 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 27 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 27 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 27 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 27 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 27 $18 −$18 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 27 $60 −$60 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 27 $108 −$108 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 27 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 27 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 27 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 27 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 27 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 27 $2 −$2 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Up 62¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Up 62¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Up 62¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Up 62¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Down 29¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Down 29¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Down 29¢ $12 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Down 39¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Down 39¢ $20 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $80 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Up 78¢ $28 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Up 73¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Up 83¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Up 83¢ $7 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Up 83¢ $122 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Up 83¢ $22 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Up 83¢ $14 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Up 83¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Up 83¢ $15 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Up 64¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Up 40¢ $18 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET BUY Up 85¢ $543 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET BUY Up 85¢ $24 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $19 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET BUY Down 41¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET BUY Down 41¢ $6 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET BUY Down 41¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET BUY Down 41¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET BUY Down 41¢ $0 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $4.08 · official $0.00 · 3500 history records