trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 2 | +0.0% | -9.5% | 0% | 0% | -9.5% |
| ≤30d | 9 | -3.9% | -13.0% | 11% | 0% | -11.1% |
| ≤90d | 9 | -3.9% | -13.0% | 11% | 0% | -11.1% |
| all | 24 | +2.3% | -7.5% | 54% | 4% | -8.0% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -7.5% | 4% | -8.0% |
| 10% | -16.3% | 4% | -16.8% |
| 15% | -24.4% | 4% | -24.8% |
| 20% | -31.8% | 4% | -32.2% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Jun 18 | $38 | $0 | +0% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | Jun 17 | $35 | $0 | +0% |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parlia | May 26 | $68 | −$1 | -1% |
| Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026? | May 26 | $40 | $0 | +0% |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30? | May 25 | $40 | −$2 | -5% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | May 24 | $12 | −$2 | -18% |
| Will Alberta join the US? | May 24 | $42 | $0 | +0% |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31? | May 23 | $26 | $0 | -0% |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31? | May 23 | $6 | −$1 | -11% |
| Will Flamengo win the FIFA Club World Cup? | Dec 09 | $1 | $0 | +6% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $150K in June? | Dec 09 | $2 | $0 | +1% |
| Will the Indiana Pacers win the 2025 NBA Finals? | Jun 24 | $2 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Călin Georgescu win the Romanian presidential election? | May 20 | $2 | $0 | +1% |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after May 2025 meeting? | May 08 | $1 | $0 | +2% |
| Will the highest temperature in NYC be 53°F or higher on March 23? | Mar 22 | $32 | +$1 | +2% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $87000 on Mar 21? | Mar 21 | $31 | +$1 | +2% |
| Will Jerome Powell say "Tariff" during the March meeting? | Mar 21 | $29 | +$1 | +4% |
| Will the highest temperature in NYC be 65°F or higher on March 19? | Mar 19 | $30 | +$1 | +2% |
| Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the Western Conference? | Mar 18 | $29 | $0 | +2% |
| Will the New Jersey Devils win the 2025 Stanley Cup? | Mar 13 | $29 | $0 | -1% |
| 2025 February hottest on record? | Mar 12 | $29 | $0 | +1% |
| UCLA vs. Northwestern | Mar 05 | $17 | +$12 | +67% |
| Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 47-48°F on March 4? | Mar 03 | $17 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the highest temperature in NYC be 55°F or higher on March 4? | Mar 03 | $17 | $0 | +0% |