Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T07:11:32+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

34
0x341d…2995
sports · 110 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$86 -8%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$85 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFresh edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$95
Realized−$85
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)59%
Wins / losses59 / 41
Est. fees paid−$9
Open positions10
Markets (closed)100 / 110
History coverage17d
Avg bet$10
Trades / day7.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit83%
Chart Positions 10 History 100 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$29
7 days−$2
14 days−$37
30 days−$85
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? No 77¢ 83¢ $20 $22 +$2 (+8%)
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? Yes 71¢ 81¢ $15 $17 +$2 (+14%)
Libema Open: Barbora Krejcikova vs Magda Linette Barbora Krejcikova 72¢ 72¢ $10 $10 +$0 (+1%)
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Yes 81¢ 80¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-1%)
HSBC Championships: Emma Raducanu vs Kamilla Rakhimova Emma Raducanu 79¢ 78¢ $9 $9 −$0 (-1%)
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 17¢ 17¢ $8 $8 +$0 (+0%)
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 16¢ 16¢ $8 $8 −$0 (-3%)
No change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil’s June 2026 meeting? Yes 60¢ 36¢ $10 $6 −$4 (-40%)
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 Under 39¢ 38¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-1%)
Set Handicap: Raducanu (-1.5) vs Rakhimova (+1.5) Raducanu 60¢ 59¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-2%)
Libema Open: Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Panna Udvardy Ekaterina Alexandrova 82¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Makarska: Lucie Havlickova vs Yasmine Kabbaj Lucie Havlickova 64¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Set Handicap: McNally (-1.5) vs Sierra (+1.5) Sierra 54¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Roland Garros WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Mirra Andreeva Marta Kostyuk 55¢ 0¢ $19 $0 −$19 (-100%)
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-07? Yes 60¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Mexico vs. South Africa: Draw at halftime? Yes 44¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Libema Open: Bianca Andreescu vs Elise Mertens Bianca Andreescu 27¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? Yes 25¢ 0¢ $40 $0 −$40 (-100%)
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes: O/U 6.5 Over 45¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Libema Open: Lois Boisson vs Solana Sierra Lois Boisson 26¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Claude 4.8 released by May 31? No 25¢ 0¢ $60 $0 −$60 (-100%)
Spread: United States (-1.5) Paraguay 79¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
HSBC Championships: Victoria Mboko vs Karolina Pliskova Victoria Mboko 35¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Libema Open: Nikola Bartunkova vs Hanne Vandewinkel Nikola Bartunkova 65¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Amanda Anisimova Amanda Anisimova 58¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Spread: Canada (-1.5) Jun 12 $7 +$2 +32%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $4 +$3 +73%
Ilkley: Alicia Dudeney vs Ashlyn Krueger Jun 12 $6 +$2 +26%
HSBC Championships: Sorana Cirstea vs Emma Raducanu Jun 12 $3 +$3 +86%
Ilkley: Tatiana Prozorova vs Sinja Kraus Jun 12 $11 −$1 -5%
Ilkley: Lulu Sun vs Mary Stoiana Jun 12 $10 +$14 +134%
HSBC Championships: Jaqueline Cristian vs Katie Boulter Jun 12 $3 +$1 +48%
Spread: United States (-1.5) Jun 12 $5 −$5 -99%
Set Handicap: Krejcikova (-1.5) vs Ruse (+1.5) Jun 12 $3 +$4 +129%
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Amanda Anisimova Jun 12 $10 −$10 -99%
Libema Open: Daria Snigur vs Robin Montgomery Jun 12 $10 −$10 -99%
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes Jun 12 $3 +$2 +67%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5 Jun 11 $7 +$5 +73%
Libema Open: Zeynep Sonmez vs Magda Linette Jun 11 $5 −$5 -98%
Libema Open: Barbora Krejcikova vs Hanne Vandewinkel Jun 11 $10 +$3 +26%
Caty McNally vs. Solana Sierra: Total Sets O/U 2.5 Jun 11 $9 −$9 -98%
Set Handicap: McNally (-1.5) vs Sierra (+1.5) Jun 11 $9 −$9 -99%
Libema Open: Robin Montgomery vs Greet Minnen Jun 11 $5 +$7 +129%
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes: O/U 6.5 Jun 11 $5 −$5 -98%
Mexico vs. South Africa: Draw at halftime? Jun 11 $4 −$4 -98%
Libema Open: Ajla Tomljanovic vs Dayana Yastremska Jun 11 $7 −$7 -99%
Libema Open: Gabriela Ruse vs Elise Mertens Jun 11 $10 −$10 -99%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 11 $3 +$2 +79%
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-10? Jun 11 $3 +$1 +46%
Bolivia vs. Algeria: O/U 2.5 Jun 11 $3 +$2 +73%
Will England win on 2026-06-10? Jun 11 $10 +$2 +17%
Spread: England (-1.5) Jun 10 $4 +$2 +57%
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-10? Jun 10 $4 +$1 +36%
Ilkley: Tereza Martincova vs Katie Swan Jun 10 $3 +$3 +109%
Ilkley: Iryna Shymanovich vs Lanlana Tararudee Jun 10 $10 +$2 +23%
Ilkley: Taylah Preston vs Harmony Tan Jun 10 $5 +$6 +109%
Victoria Mboko vs. Karolina Pliskova: Total Sets O/U 2.5 Jun 10 $5 −$2 -34%
Ilkley: Emerson Jones vs Dalma Galfi Jun 10 $10 +$8 +76%
HSBC Championships: Marie Bouzkova vs Donna Vekic Jun 10 $5 −$5 -99%
Modena: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Jeline Vandromme Jun 10 $10 +$4 +44%
HSBC Championships: Laura Siegemund vs Amanda Anisimova Jun 10 $4 +$1 +16%
Libema Open: Panna Udvardy vs Daria Snigur Jun 10 $3 −$3 -98%
HSBC Championships: Victoria Mboko vs Karolina Pliskova Jun 10 $5 −$5 -98%
Libema Open: Anastasia Potapova vs Suzan Lamens Jun 10 $15 +$5 +34%
Modena: Noma Noha Akugue vs Katarzyna Kawa Jun 10 $3 +$5 +152%
Libema Open: Nikola Bartunkova vs Hanne Vandewinkel Jun 10 $3 −$3 -99%
Libema Open: Lois Boisson vs Solana Sierra Jun 10 $5 −$5 -98%
Modena: Noemi Basiletti vs Varvara Lepchenko Jun 09 $6 +$1 +23%
Modena: Andrea Lazaro Garcia vs Julia Grabher Jun 09 $5 +$7 +140%
HSBC Championships: Mika Stojsavljevic vs Marta Kostyuk Jun 09 $15 −$6 -41%
Ilkley: Kayla Day vs Mary Stoiana Jun 09 $9 −$4 -41%
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Antonia Ruzic Jun 09 $5 +$1 +29%
Libema Open: Katie Volynets vs Zeynep Sonmez Jun 09 $5 +$6 +124%
HSBC Championships: Maria Sakkari vs Tatjana Maria Jun 09 $3 −$3 -98%
Libema Open: Greet Minnen vs Janice Tjen Jun 09 $5 −$5 -98%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 67% −$14
other 24% −$74
crypto 5% +$3
politics 2% −$4
world 2% +$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Set Handicap: Raducanu (-1.5) vs Rakhimova (+1.5) BUY Raducanu 60¢ $3 32m
HSBC Championships: Emma Raducanu vs Kamilla Rakhimova BUY Emma Raducanu 79¢ $9 33m
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 39¢ $3 1h
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 81¢ $10 1h
Libema Open: Barbora Krejcikova vs Magda Linette BUY Barbora Krejcikova 72¢ $10 3h
Spread: Canada (-1.5) BUY Bosnia and Herzegovina 75¢ $7 12h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 57¢ $4 12h
Spread: United States (-1.5) BUY Paraguay 79¢ $5 17h
Ilkley: Tatiana Prozorova vs Sinja Kraus SELL Sinja Kraus 2¢ $0 18h
Set Handicap: Krejcikova (-1.5) vs Ruse (+1.5) BUY Krejcikova 43¢ $3 22h
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Amanda Anisimova BUY Amanda Anisimova 58¢ $10 22h
Libema Open: Daria Snigur vs Robin Montgomery BUY Daria Snigur 55¢ $10 22h
Libema Open: Zeynep Sonmez vs Magda Linette BUY Zeynep Sonmez 50¢ $5 37h
Caty McNally vs. Solana Sierra: Total Sets O/U 2.5 BUY Over 2.5 37¢ $9 42h
Set Handicap: McNally (-1.5) vs Sierra (+1.5) BUY Sierra 54¢ $9 42h
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes BUY Hurricanes 59¢ $3 43h
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes: O/U 6.5 BUY Over 45¢ $5 43h
Mexico vs. South Africa: Draw at halftime? BUY Yes 44¢ $4 43h
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 57¢ $7 44h
HSBC Championships: Jaqueline Cristian vs Katie Boulter BUY Katie Boulter 67¢ $3 44h
Libema Open: Ajla Tomljanovic vs Dayana Yastremska BUY Dayana Yastremska 59¢ $7 44h
HSBC Championships: Sorana Cirstea vs Emma Raducanu BUY Emma Raducanu 53¢ $3 44h
Ilkley: Alicia Dudeney vs Ashlyn Krueger BUY Ashlyn Krueger 79¢ $6 45h
Libema Open: Barbora Krejcikova vs Hanne Vandewinkel BUY Barbora Krejcikova 79¢ $10 45h
Libema Open: Gabriela Ruse vs Elise Mertens BUY Elise Mertens 66¢ $10 45h
Spurs vs. Knicks BUY Knicks 55¢ $3 2d
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? BUY Yes 58¢ $5 2d
Spread: England (-1.5) BUY England 63¢ $4 2d
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-10? BUY Yes 68¢ $3 2d
Bolivia vs. Algeria: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 57¢ $3 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +58%
net ROI/market (all)-6.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 78 +4.9% -5.1% 62% 62% -9.9%
≤30d 100 +3.6% -6.2% 59% 58% -17.5%
≤90d 100 +3.6% -6.2% 59% 58% -17.5%
all 100 +3.6% -6.2% 59% 58% -17.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover7.8 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -6.2% 58% -17.5%
10% -15.2% 50% -25.4%
15% -23.4% 40% -32.6%
20% -30.9% 32% -39.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $95.08 · official $95.08 (match) · 200 history records