Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T06:07:27+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

34
0x3425…c806
crypto · 586 markets active 0h ago
2.5score
+$156 +4%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$96 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$96
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)61%
Wins / losses360 / 226
Est. fees paid−$4
Open positions0
Markets (closed)586 / 586
History coverage92d
Avg bet$7
Trades / day11.3
Drawdown63%
Kalshi-fit97%
Chart Positions 0 History 586 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$3
7 days+$13
14 days−$3
30 days+$38
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Up 65¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$10 +205%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$5 -52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$2 -72%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 14 $7 −$3 -46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$2 -73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$1 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 14 $9 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 14 $6 +$3 +50%
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? Jun 14 $6 $0 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Knicks vs. Spurs Jun 14 $10 +$1 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$3 -65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 14 $3 +$1 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +20%
Spread: Los Angeles Sparks (-7.5) Jun 12 $5 $0 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 11 $2 +$3 +208%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 11 $1 +$2 +181%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 -11%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 09 $8 +$7 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 08 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 08 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Jun 08 $3 +$5 +152%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 08 $5 −$2 -38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 08 $5 +$1 +25%
Spread: Los Angeles Sparks (-7.5) Jun 08 $10 +$10 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 07 $6 −$2 -40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 07 $5 +$2 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 07 $9 $0 -0%
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverev Jun 07 $5 −$3 -52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 07 $7 −$4 -59%
Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Berrettini vs Matteo Arnaldi Jun 07 $5 −$5 -100%
Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-3.5) Jun 06 $10 +$10 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 3AM ET Jun 06 $8 −$4 -45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 03 $4 +$2 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 03 $3 −$2 -60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 03 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 03 $5 −$3 -56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 01 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 01 $1 $0 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 01 $6 +$2 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 01 $11 −$1 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 01 $5 +$2 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 01 $6 +$3 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 01 $2 −$1 -55%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 88% −$16
sports 8% +$89
other 5% +$24
politics 0% −$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Up 31¢ $5 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1AM ET SELL Down 30¢ $5 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $10 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET SELL Up 14¢ $1 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $3 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $3 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET SELL Down 47¢ $3 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET SELL Down 14¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET BUY Down 81¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET BUY Down 70¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $9 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $6 2h
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? SELL Yes 56¢ $6 2h
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 57¢ $6 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET BUY Up 66¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET BUY Down 82¢ $3 2h
Knicks vs. Spurs SELL Knicks 89¢ $9 2h
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Knicks 53¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Up 66¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET SELL Down 22¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Down 57¢ $4 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET BUY Down 65¢ $3 3h
Knicks vs. Spurs SELL Knicks 17¢ $3 3h
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Knicks 31¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $3 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET BUY Up 82¢ $3 24h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET BUY Up 83¢ $5 28h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Up 31¢ $2 3d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +50%
net ROI/market (all)-7.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 35 +6.0% -4.1% 49% 43% -2.2%
≤30d 201 +1.5% -8.1% 55% 49% -6.0%
≤90d 541 +1.7% -8.0% 61% 50% -8.1%
all 586 +1.8% -7.9% 61% 50% -7.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover11.3 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -7.9% 50% -7.3%
10% -16.7% 38% -16.2%
15% -24.8% 29% -24.3%
20% -32.1% 19% -31.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1440 history records