Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T10:28:08+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

34
0x343d…456e
sports · 33 markets active 342d ago
0.0score
+$2,604,540 +65%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$2,604,540 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$0
Realized+$2,604,540
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)61%
Wins / losses20 / 13
Whale WR (big bets)100%
Open positions0
Markets (closed)33 / 33
Avg bet$121,693
Trades / day339.6
Drawdown16%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 33 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days$0
14 days$0
30 days$0
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Rays vs. Twins Jul 11 $35,029 −$35,029 -100%
Astros vs. Dodgers Jul 11 $1,942 +$1,190 +61%
Angels vs. Blue Jays Jul 05 $230,743 +$167,745 +73%
Giants vs. Athletics Jul 05 $75,057 +$72,537 +97%
Royals vs. Diamondbacks Jul 05 $208,719 +$213,779 +102%
White Sox vs. Rockies Jul 05 $106,833 +$93,167 +87%
Brewers vs. Marlins Jul 05 $43,767 −$43,767 -100%
Tigers vs. Guardians Jul 05 $42,400 +$37,600 +89%
Orioles vs. Braves Jul 05 $152,678 +$250,236 +164%
Rangers vs. Padres Jul 05 $212,254 +$209,385 +99%
Red Sox vs. Nationals Jul 05 $707 −$707 -100%
Pirates vs. Mariners Jul 05 $3,659 −$3,659 -100%
Cardinals vs. Cubs Jul 05 $1,018 +$833 +82%
Yankees vs. Mets Jul 05 $44,021 +$40,635 +92%
Reds vs. Phillies Jul 05 $293,308 +$397,796 +136%
Giants vs. Diamondbacks Jul 04 $6,648 −$6,648 -100%
Twins vs. Marlins Jul 04 $136,582 −$136,582 -100%
Tigers vs. Nationals Jul 04 $19,539 +$25,900 +133%
Yankees vs. Blue Jays Jul 04 $188,796 +$227,975 +121%
Guardians vs. Cubs Jul 04 $238,072 +$186,654 +78%
Angels vs. Braves Jul 04 $208,823 +$280,139 +134%
White Sox vs. Dodgers Jul 04 $360,620 +$140,479 +39%
Tigers vs. Nationals Jul 03 $4,920 −$4,920 -100%
Astros vs. Rockies Jul 03 $5,308 −$5,308 -100%
Giants vs. Diamondbacks Jul 03 $115,980 −$115,980 -100%
Tigers vs. Nationals Jul 03 $113,544 −$113,544 -100%
Athletics vs. Rays Jul 03 $89,922 −$89,922 -100%
White Sox vs. Dodgers Jul 03 $89,971 −$89,971 -100%
Guardians vs. Cubs Jul 03 $88,448 +$56,549 +64%
Brewers vs. Mets Jul 03 $181,121 +$181,848 +100%
Royals vs. Mariners Jul 03 $298,786 +$180,948 +61%
Yankees vs. Blue Jays Jul 03 $416,629 +$485,183 +116%
Brewers vs. Mets Jul 02 $19 $0 +0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 100% +$2,604,540
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Giants vs. Athletics BUY Athletics 50¢ $40 342d
Giants vs. Athletics BUY Athletics 50¢ $1,488 342d
Giants vs. Athletics BUY Athletics 51¢ $1,982 342d
Giants vs. Athletics BUY Athletics 51¢ $5,100 342d
Giants vs. Athletics BUY Athletics 51¢ $3 342d
Giants vs. Athletics BUY Athletics 51¢ $3 342d
Giants vs. Athletics BUY Athletics 51¢ $3 342d
Giants vs. Athletics BUY Athletics 51¢ $3 342d
Giants vs. Athletics BUY Athletics 51¢ $10,200 342d
Giants vs. Athletics BUY Athletics 51¢ $30 342d
Giants vs. Athletics BUY Athletics 51¢ $1,952 342d
Giants vs. Athletics BUY Athletics 51¢ $729 342d
Giants vs. Athletics BUY Athletics 51¢ $28 342d
Giants vs. Athletics BUY Athletics 51¢ $5,126 342d
Giants vs. Athletics BUY Athletics 51¢ $854 342d
Giants vs. Athletics BUY Athletics 51¢ $11,730 342d
Giants vs. Athletics BUY Athletics 50¢ $600 342d
Giants vs. Athletics BUY Athletics 50¢ $170 342d
Giants vs. Athletics BUY Athletics 50¢ $2,500 342d
Giants vs. Athletics BUY Athletics 50¢ $100 342d
Giants vs. Athletics BUY Athletics 50¢ $66 342d
Giants vs. Athletics BUY Athletics 50¢ $1,200 342d
Giants vs. Athletics BUY Athletics 50¢ $132 342d
Royals vs. Diamondbacks BUY Royals 50¢ $35,000 342d
Royals vs. Diamondbacks BUY Royals 49¢ $6,712 342d
Royals vs. Diamondbacks BUY Royals 49¢ $98 342d
Royals vs. Diamondbacks BUY Royals 50¢ $50,000 342d
Royals vs. Diamondbacks BUY Royals 49¢ $1 342d
Royals vs. Diamondbacks BUY Royals 49¢ $4 342d
Royals vs. Diamondbacks BUY Royals 49¢ $535 342d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
trap: profits on perfect fill only, loses on real
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +61%
net ROI/market (all)+10.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d no closed markets
≤30d no closed markets
≤90d no closed markets
all 33 +22.0% +10.4% 61% 61% +49.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover339.6 tr/day
realistic slip~18%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +10.4% 61% +49.2%
10% -0.1% 61% +34.9%
15% ← realistic here -9.8% 61% +21.9%
20% -18.6% 58% +9.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 859 history records