Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T22:16:04+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

34
0x3443…64e9
crypto · 468 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$1,063 -10%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1,081 · open +$8
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$43
Realized−$1,081
Unrealized+$8
Win rate (resolved)55%
Wins / losses256 / 211
Est. fees paid−$21
Open positions1
Markets (closed)467 / 468
History coverage53d
Avg bet$23
Trades / day46.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit90%
Chart Positions 1 History 467 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$130
7 days−$130
14 days−$529
30 days−$892
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? No 82¢ 100¢ $36 $43 +$8 (+22%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Up 30¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Up 3¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Down 78¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Roland Garros ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Matteo Arnaldi Frances Tiafoe 51¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Up 38¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Up 62¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Will AC Milan win on 2026-05-24? Yes 85¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Down 40¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Up 0¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Down 38¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will CA River Plate vs. Red Bull Bragantino end in a draw? No 70¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Will Slovakia vs. Malta end in a draw? Yes 89¢ 0¢ $18 $0 −$18 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Down 34¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Up 37¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Alexis Galarneau vs Federico Cina Alexis Galarneau 26¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Roman Safiullin Roman Safiullin 88¢ 0¢ $35 $0 −$35 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Down 19¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Down 34¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $4 +$1 +20%
Spread: Bosnia and Herzegovina (-1.5) Jun 12 $99 +$4 +4%
HSBC Championships: Sorana Cirstea vs Emma Raducanu Jun 12 $99 +$20 +20%
Modena: Dominika Salkova vs Katarzyna Kawa Jun 12 $8 +$2 +31%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $253 −$117 -46%
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? Jun 12 $61 $0 -1%
Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies Jun 11 $8 +$1 +17%
Tucuman: Federico Coria vs Andrea Collarini Jun 11 $10 +$2 +21%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 1.5 Jun 11 $18 +$3 +14%
Libema Open: Nuno Borges vs Marin Cilic Jun 11 $50 −$50 -100%
Cattolica: Alvaro Guillen Meza vs Marco Cecchinato Jun 11 $9 +$2 +20%
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Toronto Blue Jays Jun 11 $15 +$2 +12%
Portugal vs. Nigeria: O/U 2.5 Jun 10 $5 +$1 +16%
Málaga CF vs. UD Las Palmas: O/U 2.5 Jun 10 $2 $0 +24%
Tucuman: Juan Bautista Torres vs Carlos Maria Zarate Jun 10 $2 +$1 +21%
New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardians Jun 10 $5 +$2 +32%
Modena: Dominika Salkova vs Alice Tubello Jun 09 $4 +$1 +14%
Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 4.5 Jun 09 $3 +$1 +34%
Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays Jun 09 $6 +$1 +19%
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Toronto Blue Jays Jun 09 $7 $0 +2%
France vs. Northern Ireland: O/U 4.5 Jun 08 $3 $0 +16%
HSBC Championships: Qinwen Zheng vs Jaqueline Cristian Jun 08 $11 +$1 +12%
Libema Open: Marin Cilic vs Denis Shapovalov Jun 08 $3 $0 +5%
Will Italy win on 2026-06-07? Jun 07 $29 +$5 +17%
Will Norway win on 2026-06-07? Jun 07 $6 +$2 +27%
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-07? Jun 07 $10 −$10 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 06 $8 −$3 -37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 06 $8 −$2 -23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 05 $12 −$3 -23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 05 $13 $0 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 05 $8 −$2 -24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 05 $9 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 05 $21 −$6 -27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 05 $7 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 05 $24 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 05 $5 −$2 -37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 05 $3 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 05 $10 −$1 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 05 $13 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 05 $15 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 05 $8 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 05 $6 −$3 -45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 05 $6 −$3 -47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 05 $5 −$2 -36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 05 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 05 $5 −$3 -49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 05 $3 $0 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 05 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 05 $3 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 05 $5 +$2 +38%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 64% −$439
sports 19% −$295
other 14% −$328
world 2% +$77
finance 1% −$94
politics 0% −$26
economics 0% +$31
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 SELL Under 99¢ $5 1h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 82¢ $4 1h
Spread: Bosnia and Herzegovina (-1.5) SELL Canada 94¢ $102 1h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? SELL No 90¢ $39 1h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? SELL No 89¢ $77 1h
Spread: Bosnia and Herzegovina (-1.5) BUY Canada 90¢ $49 1h
Spread: Bosnia and Herzegovina (-1.5) BUY Canada 90¢ $49 1h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 87¢ $17 1h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 86¢ $22 1h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 86¢ $22 1h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 86¢ $22 1h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 86¢ $22 1h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? SELL No 75¢ $38 2h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 73¢ $38 2h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 73¢ $38 2h
HSBC Championships: Sorana Cirstea vs Emma Raducanu SELL Emma Raducanu 97¢ $119 8h
HSBC Championships: Sorana Cirstea vs Emma Raducanu BUY Emma Raducanu 80¢ $49 8h
HSBC Championships: Sorana Cirstea vs Emma Raducanu BUY Emma Raducanu 80¢ $49 8h
Modena: Dominika Salkova vs Katarzyna Kawa BUY Katarzyna Kawa 76¢ $8 10h
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? SELL No 90¢ $61 18h
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? BUY No 90¢ $50 18h
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? BUY No 90¢ $11 18h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? SELL No 12¢ $20 18h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 87¢ $20 18h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 85¢ $4 18h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 85¢ $6 18h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 85¢ $6 18h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 85¢ $12 18h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 83¢ $50 18h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY No 91¢ $26 18h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +41%
net ROI/market (all)-21.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 28 +3.3% -6.5% 79% 68% -25.3%
≤30d 399 -16.4% -24.4% 54% 40% -17.2%
≤90d 467 -13.5% -21.8% 55% 41% -17.4%
all 467 -13.5% -21.8% 55% 41% -17.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover46.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -21.8% 41% -17.4%
10% ← realistic here -29.3% 23% -25.3%
15% -36.1% 13% -32.5%
20% -42.4% 7% -39.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $43.21 · official $43.21 (match) · 2839 history records