Wallet analysis

2026-06-18T06:35:49+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
34 0x3456…8392 crypto 106 markets active 2h ago coverage 5d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 4d only
✗ bot/MM pace (724 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL −$5,539 (-36%) realized −$5,539 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -11% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -31% what you keep after slip
Net edge-31%after slip
Net WR16%break-even
Win rate34%36W / 70L
Whale WR17%big bets
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$145per market
Trades / day724.1pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 5d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$3,235
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (724 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +16%
net ROI/market (all)-19.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 106 -10.6% -19.2% 34% 16% -28.6%
≤30d 106 -10.6% -19.2% 34% 16% -28.6%
≤90d 106 -10.6% -19.2% 34% 16% -28.6%
all 106 -10.6% -19.2% 34% 16% -28.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover724.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -19.2% 16% -28.6%
10% ← realistic here -26.9% 11% -35.4%
15% -34.0% 10% -41.7%
20% -40.4% 9% -47.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 22% · top 2 36% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -21% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
53% wins margin < slip thin win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -11% · $-wt -21% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR 17% (≥$500) big bets weaker
Persistence
early -0% → late -21% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
26.9 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$109 vs −$102 · ×1.07 wins ≈ losses
Profit factor
×0.55 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

5d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$5,539
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)34%
Wins / losses36 / 70
Whale WR (big bets)17%
Open positions0
Markets (closed)106 / 106
History coverage5d ⚠
Avg bet$145
Trades / day724.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 106 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 18 $293 +$362 +124%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 18 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 18 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 18 $120 −$118 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 18 $168 −$168 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 18 $199 −$199 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Jun 18 $257 −$257 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Jun 18 $271 −$271 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Jun 18 $602 −$48 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 18 $295 −$295 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 18 $493 −$493 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 18 $362 −$362 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 18 $297 −$297 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 18 $651 −$651 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Jun 18 $591 −$482 -82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12AM ET Jun 18 $355 −$355 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Jun 18 $289 −$289 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 18 $649 −$383 -59%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Jun 18 $211 −$211 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 18 $352 +$527 +150%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 18 $276 −$276 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET Jun 18 $300 +$330 +110%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 18 $191 +$123 +64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 16 $40 −$40 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 14 $649 −$649 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET Jun 14 $279 +$373 +134%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 14 $181 −$16 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 14 $183 −$58 -32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 14 $81 +$4 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 14 $108 +$2 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 14 $128 −$8 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 14 $56 +$4 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 14 $114 +$4 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 14 $81 −$11 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 14 $96 −$1 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 14 $172 −$2 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 14 $86 −$6 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 14 $96 −$1 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Jun 14 $313 +$859 +274%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET Jun 14 $521 +$568 +109%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Jun 14 $187 −$187 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 14 $500 +$177 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 14 $443 −$443 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 14 $384 −$384 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 14 $178 +$390 +219%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 13 $66 −$7 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 13 $31 −$1 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 13 $50 −$2 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 13 $85 +$5 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 13 $78 $0 +0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET BUY Up 7¢ $36 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET BUY Up 35¢ $148 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $424 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $24 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $9 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $9 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $74 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET SELL Up 98¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET SELL Up 98¢ $15 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET SELL Up 98¢ $15 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET SELL Up 98¢ $15 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET SELL Up 98¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET SELL Up 98¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET SELL Up 98¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET SELL Up 98¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET SELL Up 98¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET SELL Up 98¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET SELL Up 97¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET SELL Up 97¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET SELL Up 97¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET SELL Up 97¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET SELL Up 97¢ $25 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET SELL Up 97¢ $30 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET SELL Up 96¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET SELL Up 96¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET SELL Up 96¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET SELL Up 96¢ $43 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET SELL Up 96¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET SELL Up 96¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET SELL Up 96¢ $5 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records