Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T23:51:12+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

34
0x3457…5056
crypto · 37 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$180 -8%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$177 · open −$3
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$58
Realized−$177
Unrealized−$3
Win rate (resolved)61%
Wins / losses22 / 14
Open positions1
Markets (closed)36 / 37
History coverage1d
Avg bet$60
Trades / day153.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 36 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$177
7 days−$177
14 days−$177
30 days−$177
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Up 70¢ 66¢ $61 $58 −$3 (-5%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Up 60¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Up 74¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Down 60¢ 0¢ $35 $0 −$35 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Up 32¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Down 77¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Down 16¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 12 $137 +$25 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 12 $141 +$22 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 12 $256 −$209 -82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 12 $41 −$41 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 12 $238 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 12 $96 −$4 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 12 $212 +$27 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 12 $56 +$22 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 12 $59 −$45 -76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 12 $15 −$1 -8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$5 +96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 12 $60 +$8 +13%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 12 $46 +$14 +32%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 12 $77 +$43 +55%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 12 $16 +$18 +112%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 12 $16 −$15 -95%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 12 $36 −$35 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 12 $101 +$15 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 12 $132 +$22 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$7 +140%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 12 $103 −$82 -80%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 12 $31 +$8 +25%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 12 $60 +$12 +20%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 12 $12 +$2 +15%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 12 $26 +$11 +45%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$6 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 12 $51 +$16 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$5 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 12 $12 −$12 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 12 $40 +$11 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -98%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$180
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $3 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $3 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $3 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET BUY Up 76¢ $41 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $12 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET BUY Up 88¢ $30 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET BUY Up 85¢ $40 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET BUY Up 82¢ $50 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET BUY Up 79¢ $16 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $10 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Up 89¢ $20 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Up 85¢ $101 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Up 82¢ $10 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET BUY Up 1¢ $21 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET BUY Up 62¢ $10 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET BUY Up 21¢ $11 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET BUY Up 80¢ $10 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET BUY Up 80¢ $10 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET BUY Up 89¢ $121 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET BUY Up 81¢ $30 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET BUY Down 61¢ $10 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET BUY Down 66¢ $20 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $1 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $3 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $7 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET BUY Up 74¢ $10 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET BUY Down 67¢ $31 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $10 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $10 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $10 31m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +58%
net ROI/market (all)-14.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 36 -5.7% -14.7% 61% 58% -17.0%
≤30d 36 -5.7% -14.7% 61% 58% -17.0%
≤90d 36 -5.7% -14.7% 61% 58% -17.0%
all 36 -5.7% -14.7% 61% 58% -17.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover153.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -14.7% 58% -17.0%
10% ← realistic here -22.9% 33% -24.9%
15% -30.3% 22% -32.2%
20% -37.1% 14% -38.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $57.92 · official $57.92 (match) · 193 history records