Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T17:39:48+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

34
0x3471…f17e
sports · 147 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$1,323 +0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$8,108 · open +$6,138
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY sports specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$27,361
Realized−$8,108
Unrealized+$6,138
Win rate (resolved)47%
Wins / losses80 / 90
Whale WR (big bets)67%
Est. fees paid−$10,585
Open positions12
Markets (closed)170 / 147
History coverage7d
Avg bet$5,331
Trades / day461.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 12 History 170 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$10,092
7 days−$8,108
14 days−$8,108
30 days−$8,108
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs Team Vitality 66¢ 86¢ $6,635 $8,651 +$2,016 (+30%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner BetBoom Team 30¢ 100¢ $2,365 $7,995 +$5,631 (+238%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BetBoom Team 45¢ 100¢ $2,472 $5,512 +$3,040 (+123%)
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality - Map 2 Winner Team Vitality 60¢ 72¢ $1,587 $1,932 +$345 (+22%)
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner Natus Vincere 76¢ 100¢ $1,186 $1,568 +$381 (+32%)
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner Aurora Gaming 31¢ 18¢ $1,492 $894 −$598 (-40%)
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Spirit 75¢ 86¢ $663 $765 +$102 (+15%)
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z - Map 2 Winner 9z 12¢ 14¢ $37 $41 +$5 (+12%)
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality - Map 1 Winner Team Heretics 33¢ 0¢ $1,647 $3 −$1,644 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Legacy 27¢ 0¢ $270 $0 −$270 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner Team Falcons 40¢ 0¢ $187 $0 −$187 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 MOUZ 3¢ 0¢ $21 $0 −$21 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs B8 (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 B8 34¢ 0¢ $187 $0 −$187 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: FlyQuest vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 FlyQuest 40¢ 0¢ $342 $0 −$342 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: M80 vs NRG - Map 2 Winner NRG 41¢ 0¢ $888 $0 −$888 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: NRG vs BIG - Map 2 Winner BIG 67¢ 0¢ $1,305 $0 −$1,305 (-100%)
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 3 Winner Dplus KIA 39¢ 0¢ $837 $0 −$837 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Monte (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Monte 49¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 TheMongolz 51¢ 0¢ $660 $0 −$660 (-100%)
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winner LGD Gaming 26¢ 0¢ $1,042 $0 −$1,042 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: paiN vs TYLOO (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 paiN 34¢ 0¢ $336 $0 −$336 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner BetBoom Team 26¢ 0¢ $325 $0 −$325 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: M80 vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 M80 31¢ 0¢ $1,740 $0 −$1,740 (-100%)
Valorant: XLG Gaming vs NRG - Map 2 Winner XLG Gaming 57¢ 0¢ $5,721 $0 −$5,721 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: G2 vs BIG - Map 1 Winner BIG 24¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Counter-Strike: M80 vs NRG - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $888 −$619 -70%
Counter-Strike: NRG vs BIG - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $1,305 −$3,119 -239%
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $1,042 −$1,042 -100%
Counter-Strike: M80 vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 12 $1,740 −$1,028 -59%
Counter-Strike: NRG vs FlyQuest (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 12 $569 −$35 -6%
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $2,359 −$2,359 -100%
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $2,884 −$2,556 -89%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Sinners - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $516 −$222 -43%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Lynn Vision (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 12 $20 +$651 +3220%
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Yandex (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs Jun 12 $1,647 −$420 -26%
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Liquid (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs Jun 12 $553 −$553 -100%
Counter-Strike: Gaimin Gladiators vs Heroic - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $559 −$505 -90%
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs Lynn Vision (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 12 $276 −$276 -100%
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs Lynn Vision (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 12 $1,653 −$1,631 -99%
Counter-Strike: Gaimin Gladiators vs Heroic (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 12 $988 −$988 -100%
Counter-Strike: M80 vs B8 - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $1,007 −$50 -5%
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs Sharks (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 12 $2,804 −$2,974 -106%
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Gaimin Gladiators (BO1) - IEM Cologne Jun 12 $1,917 −$1,414 -74%
Counter-Strike: NRG vs BIG - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $1,180 −$1,180 -100%
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $45 +$399 +882%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Sharks (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 12 $16 +$2,113 +12859%
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Heroic (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 12 $835 −$835 -100%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Lynn Vision - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $162 −$162 -100%
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Aurora (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs Jun 12 $1,372 −$865 -63%
Counter-Strike: THUNDER dOWNUNDER vs FlyQuest - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $55 +$34 +61%
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs Lynn Vision - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $282 −$276 -98%
Counter-Strike: BIG vs Liquid (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 12 $870 +$79 +9%
Counter-Strike: M80 vs Lynn Vision (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 12 $249 −$136 -55%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Sinners - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $1,547 −$1,547 -100%
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Heroic - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $1,504 −$1,375 -91%
Counter-Strike: B8 vs TYLOO (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 12 $1,953 −$1,839 -94%
Counter-Strike: Gaimin Gladiators vs Heroic - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $483 −$456 -94%
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Liquid (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs Jun 12 $0 −$100 -97865%
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $5,276 −$5,170 -98%
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs BIG (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 12 $2,321 −$2,053 -88%
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Pla Jun 12 $3,311 +$775 +23%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $1,978 +$415 +21%
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $33 +$18 +52%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $4,292 +$541 +13%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $2,840 −$151 -5%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $8,548 +$5,522 +65%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $14,686 −$1,112 -8%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $4,143 +$1,434 +35%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $670 +$330 +49%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $3,541 +$2,459 +70%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $2,032 −$309 -15%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $6,214 −$72 -1%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $2,837 +$1,249 +44%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $2,367 +$1,091 +46%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $854 +$145 +17%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 100% +$30,538
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner BUY Aurora Gaming 49¢ $497 3m
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality - Map 2 Winner BUY Team Vitality 74¢ $510 4m
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner BUY Aurora Gaming 38¢ $387 5m
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Spirit 75¢ $1,413 6m
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality - Map 2 Winner BUY Team Heretics 15¢ $58 10m
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner BUY Aurora Gaming 28¢ $265 11m
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Aurora Gaming 13¢ $130 12m
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality - Map 2 Winner BUY Team Heretics 32¢ $1 12m
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality - Map 2 Winner BUY Team Heretics 32¢ $32 12m
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality - Map 2 Winner BUY Team Heretics 32¢ $1 12m
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality - Map 2 Winner BUY Team Heretics 32¢ $41 12m
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality - Map 2 Winner BUY Team Heretics 32¢ $76 12m
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality - Map 2 Winner BUY Team Heretics 32¢ $1 12m
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality - Map 2 Winner BUY Team Heretics 32¢ $24 12m
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner BUY Aurora Gaming 19¢ $82 13m
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner BUY Aurora Gaming 19¢ $190 13m
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner BUY Aurora Gaming 20¢ $28 13m
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner BUY Aurora Gaming 20¢ $50 13m
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner BUY Aurora Gaming 16¢ $16 14m
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality - Map 2 Winner BUY Team Heretics 19¢ $11 16m
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality - Map 2 Winner BUY Team Heretics 23¢ $9 18m
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality - Map 2 Winner BUY Team Heretics 23¢ $14 18m
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality - Map 2 Winner BUY Team Heretics 23¢ $13 19m
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality - Map 2 Winner BUY Team Heretics 23¢ $5 19m
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality - Map 2 Winner BUY Team Vitality 50¢ $634 23m
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality - Map 2 Winner BUY Team Vitality 79¢ $515 30m
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality - Map 2 Winner BUY Team Vitality 79¢ $4 30m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner BUY Team Falcons 19¢ $2 37m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner BUY BetBoom Team 80¢ $430 37m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY BetBoom Team 87¢ $870 38m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +44%
net ROI/market (all)+79.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 170 +98.4% +79.5% 47% 44% -12.2%
≤30d 170 +98.4% +79.5% 47% 44% -12.2%
≤90d 170 +98.4% +79.5% 47% 44% -12.2%
all 170 +98.4% +79.5% 47% 44% -12.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover461.7 tr/day
realistic slip~18%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +79.5% 44% -12.2%
10% +62.4% 36% -20.6%
15% ← realistic here +46.7% 29% -28.3%
20% +32.3% 21% -35.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $27,361.22 · official $27,361.22 (match) · 3500 history records