Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T17:06:11+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

34
0x3477…eb63
crypto · 1290 markets active 4h ago
0.0score
−$33 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$434 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$434
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)90%
Wins / losses1165 / 124
Open positions1
Markets (closed)1289 / 1290
History coverage12d
Avg bet$28
Trades / day181.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 1289 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$46
7 days−$103
14 days−$434
30 days−$434
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? Yes 33¢ 1¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-98%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 14 $8 −$3 -38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 14 $7 +$3 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 14 $7 −$2 -29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 14 $10 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 14 $6 +$4 +56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 14 $9 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 14 $18 +$2 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 14 $19 −$19 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 14 $19 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 14 $18 +$7 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 14 $19 −$14 -74%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 14 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 14 $6 −$1 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 14 $10 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 14 $9 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$2 -84%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 14 $3 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 14 $3 $0 +13%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +19%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +20%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +7%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +6%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +12%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +6%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$1 -60%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$419
tech 0% +$2
politics 0% −$16
finance 0% $0
weather 0% −$1
other 0% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Down 11¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 28¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 29¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 30¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 32¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Up 39¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Up 39¢ $2 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $2 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Up 36¢ $2 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Up 36¢ $2 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Up 36¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down 42¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Down 46¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $0 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Up 40¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Up 3¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Up 38¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Up 42¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET BUY Down 17¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Down 45¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Up 31¢ $2 4h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +7%
net ROI/market (all)-11.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 540 -4.9% -13.9% 84% 13% -11.6%
≤30d 1289 -2.5% -11.8% 90% 7% -10.6%
≤90d 1289 -2.5% -11.8% 90% 7% -10.6%
all 1289 -2.5% -11.8% 90% 7% -10.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover181.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -11.8% 7% -10.6%
10% ← realistic here -20.2% 1% -19.2%
15% -27.9% 1% -27.0%
20% -35.0% 0% -34.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.02 · official $0.02 (match) · 3500 history records