Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T09:50:56+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

34
0x3496…8fc4
sports · 61 markets active 10h ago
0.0score
+$50,736 +2%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$113,559 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Possible transfer/wash account
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$113,559
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)41%
Wins / losses28 / 41
Whale WR (big bets)61%
Est. fees paid−$32,061
Open positions0
Markets (closed)69 / 61
History coverage12d
Avg bet$42,408
Trades / day284.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit74%
Chart Positions 0 History 69 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$188,483
7 days+$304,345
14 days+$113,559
30 days+$113,559
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Spread: Ghana (-1.5) Ghana 10¢ 0¢ $1,079 $0 −$1,079 (-100%)
Exact Score: Slovakia 1 - 2 Malta? Yes 6¢ 0¢ $128 $0 −$128 (-100%)
Romania vs. Wales: O/U 3.5 Over 36¢ 0¢ $66,150 $0 −$66,150 (-100%)
Will Wales win on 2026-06-06? Yes 40¢ 0¢ $100,657 $0 −$100,657 (-100%)
Austria vs. Tunisia: O/U 1.5 Over 53¢ 0¢ $99,810 $0 −$99,810 (-100%)
Sweden vs. Greece: O/U 3.5 Under 77¢ 0¢ $11,550 $0 −$11,550 (-100%)
Croatia vs. Belgium: Both Teams to Score Yes 31¢ 0¢ $3,100 $0 −$3,100 (-100%)
Belarus vs. Syria: O/U 4.5 Under 27¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will Slovakia win on 2026-06-01? No 18¢ 0¢ $7,289 $0 −$7,289 (-100%)
Exact Score: Bulgaria 0 - 0 Montenegro? Yes 23¢ 0¢ $267 $0 −$267 (-100%)
Belarus vs. Burkina Faso: O/U 4.5 Over 43¢ 0¢ $638 $0 −$638 (-100%)
Türkiye vs. North Macedonia: O/U 4.5 Over 51¢ 0¢ $40,598 $0 −$40,598 (-100%)
Georgia vs. Romania: O/U 2.5 Over 36¢ 0¢ $1,080 $0 −$1,080 (-100%)
Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 0 Switzerland? Yes 7¢ 0¢ $5,369 $0 −$5,369 (-100%)
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-06? No 30¢ 0¢ $4,734 $0 −$4,734 (-100%)
HSBC Championships: Victoria Mboko vs Karolina Pliskova Victoria Mboko 45¢ 0¢ $10,000 $0 −$10,000 (-100%)
Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 1 Morocco? Yes 11¢ 0¢ $550 $0 −$550 (-100%)
Will Norway vs. Sweden end in a draw? Yes 3¢ 0¢ $1,130 $0 −$1,130 (-100%)
Spread: Ukraine (-1.5) Ukraine 8¢ 0¢ $38,897 $0 −$38,897 (-100%)
Exact Score: Brazil 0 - 1 Morocco? Yes 7¢ 0¢ $350 $0 −$350 (-100%)
Will Germany win on 2026-05-31? No 12¢ 0¢ $3,029 $0 −$3,029 (-100%)
Norway vs. Sweden: O/U 4.5 Over 36¢ 0¢ $19,948 $0 −$19,948 (-100%)
Mexico vs. South Africa: South Africa O/U 0.5 Over 6¢ 0¢ $442 $0 −$442 (-100%)
Slovenia vs. Cyprus: O/U 2.5 Over 48¢ 0¢ $96,477 $0 −$96,477 (-100%)
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? Yes 10¢ 0¢ $800 $0 −$800 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Exact Score: Slovakia 1 - 2 Malta? Jun 14 $128 −$128 -100%
Will Slovakia win on 2026-06-01? Jun 14 $7,289 −$7,299 -100%
Exact Score: Bulgaria 0 - 0 Montenegro? Jun 14 $267 −$267 -100%
Will Germany win on 2026-05-31? Jun 14 $3,029 −$3,029 -100%
Will Czechia win on 2026-05-31? Jun 14 $13,504 −$13,504 -100%
Czechia vs. Kosovo: O/U 4.5 Jun 14 $5,688 −$5,688 -100%
Poland vs. Ukraine: O/U 3.5 Jun 14 $20,000 −$20,000 -100%
Germany vs. Finland: O/U 2.5 Jun 14 $1,420 −$1,420 -100%
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 Jun 14 $6,018 +$1,982 +33%
Brazil vs. Morocco: Morocco O/U 0.5 Jun 14 $14,549 +$10,451 +72%
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $800 −$800 -100%
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $55,155 +$1,110 +2%
Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 1 Morocco? Jun 13 $718 +$181 +25%
Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 1 Morocco? Jun 13 $558 −$550 -99%
Exact Score: Brazil 0 - 1 Morocco? Jun 13 $360 −$350 -97%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 3.5 Jun 13 $60,064 +$16,995 +28%
Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 0 Switzerland? Jun 13 $5,372 −$5,369 -100%
United States vs. Paraguay: United States O/U 1.5 Jun 13 $18,004 +$26,996 +150%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $210,828 +$189,171 +90%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5 Jun 11 $166,751 −$115,592 -69%
Mexico vs. South Africa: South Africa O/U 0.5 Jun 11 $442 −$442 -100%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 11 $175,219 −$158,884 -91%
Spread: Portugal (-1.5) Jun 10 $78,695 +$42,275 +54%
Portugal vs. Nigeria: O/U 3.5 Jun 10 $50,863 −$50,860 -100%
Portugal vs. Nigeria: Both Teams to Score Jun 10 $7,670 +$7,175 +94%
HSBC Championships: Victoria Mboko vs Karolina Pliskova Jun 10 $10,164 −$10,000 -98%
Hungary vs. Kazakhstan: O/U 3.5 Jun 09 $66,022 +$33,874 +51%
Belarus vs. Burkina Faso: O/U 4.5 Jun 09 $641 −$638 -100%
Will Belarus win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $673 −$672 -100%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 09 $355,804 +$408,523 +115%
Denmark vs. Ukraine: O/U 3.5 Jun 08 $45 −$1 -1%
Spread: Ukraine (-1.5) Jun 07 $39,867 −$38,897 -98%
Romania vs. Wales: O/U 3.5 Jun 06 $66,154 −$66,150 -100%
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-06? Jun 06 $4,804 −$4,734 -98%
Will Wales win on 2026-06-06? Jun 06 $100,760 −$100,657 -100%
Knicks vs. Spurs Jun 06 $57,587 −$53,947 -94%
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 217.5 Jun 06 $62,001 −$29,001 -47%
Will Malta win on 2026-06-05? Jun 05 $17,760 −$85 -0%
Azerbaijan vs. Malta: O/U 2.5 Jun 05 $120 −$120 -100%
Will Slovakia win on 2026-06-05? Jun 05 $1,135 +$845 +74%
Belarus vs. Syria: O/U 3.5 Jun 05 $24,340 +$15,908 +65%
Belarus vs. Syria: O/U 4.5 Jun 05 $2 −$2 -98%
Slovakia vs. Montenegro: O/U 3.5 Jun 05 $6,002 +$398 +7%
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-04? Jun 04 $34 +$13 +39%
France vs. Côte d'Ivoire: O/U 3.5 Jun 04 $4,116 −$4,100 -100%
Spain vs. Iraq: O/U 4.5 Jun 04 $21,714 +$12,499 +58%
Will Spain win on 2026-06-04? Jun 04 $131 +$136 +104%
Spain vs. Iraq: O/U 2.5 Jun 04 $17 +$26 +153%
Sweden vs. Greece: O/U 3.5 Jun 04 $11,555 −$11,550 -100%
Sweden vs. Greece: O/U 2.5 Jun 04 $131,062 +$118,680 +91%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 76% +$32,542
other 21% +$127,520
world 3% +$4,833
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 75¢ $3,371 9h
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 75¢ $2,609 9h
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 75¢ $38 9h
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 10¢ $0 9h
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 10¢ $0 9h
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 10¢ $353 9h
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 10¢ $3 9h
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 10¢ $0 9h
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 10¢ $0 9h
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 10¢ $232 9h
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 10¢ $150 9h
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 10¢ $2 9h
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 10¢ $1 9h
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 10¢ $3 9h
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 10¢ $1 9h
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 10¢ $0 9h
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 10¢ $22 9h
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 10¢ $1 9h
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 10¢ $3 9h
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 10¢ $7 9h
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 10¢ $1 9h
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 10¢ $11 9h
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 10¢ $9 9h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? SELL No 57¢ $56,265 10h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 55¢ $43,528 11h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 55¢ $11,627 11h
Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 1 Morocco? SELL Yes 18¢ $607 11h
Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 1 Morocco? SELL Yes 18¢ $10 11h
Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 1 Morocco? SELL Yes 18¢ $17 11h
Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 1 Morocco? SELL Yes 18¢ $136 11h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +36%
net ROI/market (all)-37.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 32 -40.0% -45.7% 34% 31% +11.3%
≤30d 69 -31.2% -37.7% 41% 36% -5.5%
≤90d 69 -31.2% -37.7% 41% 36% -5.5%
all 69 -31.2% -37.7% 41% 36% -5.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover284.3 tr/day
realistic slip~18%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -37.7% 36% -5.5%
10% -43.7% 35% -14.6%
15% ← realistic here -49.1% 29% -22.8%
20% -54.1% 22% -30.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records