Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:44:06+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

34
0x3499…45ed
crypto · 2192 markets active 0h ago
2.0score
+$3,247 +42%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$3,248 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
✓ COPY-WORTHY crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$2
Realized+$3,248
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)63%
Wins / losses881 / 511
Open positions1
Markets (closed)1392 / 2192
History coverage8d
Avg bet$4
Trades / day345.8
Drawdown14%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 1392 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$193
7 days+$2,756
14 days+$3,248
30 days+$3,248
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Up 22¢ 14¢ $3 $2 −$1 (-34%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 4, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Up 42¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 8, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Up 17¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Down 64¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Down 41¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 6, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Down 12¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 6, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Up 36¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 4, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Up 57¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Down 37¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Up 23¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Down 40¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Down 43¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Up 37¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Down 43¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Up 6¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 4, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 4, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 4, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 4, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 4, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 3, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 4, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 4, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 4, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 25, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$3,759
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Up 22¢ $3 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Up 25¢ $2 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Down 24¢ $3 22m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Down 32¢ $2 26m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Down 35¢ $2 37m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 26¢ $2 44m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Up 29¢ $2 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Up 29¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 26¢ $2 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Down 28¢ $2 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Up 40¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET BUY Up 40¢ $2 2h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Up 32¢ $2 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET BUY Down 30¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET BUY Down 24¢ $2 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET BUY Down 40¢ $2 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET BUY Down 26¢ $2 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Up 37¢ $2 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Up 37¢ $2 5h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET BUY Down 17¢ $3 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET BUY Up 40¢ $3 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Up 26¢ $2 6h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 29¢ $2 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 36¢ $3 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET BUY Up 40¢ $2 6h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET BUY Down 32¢ $2 7h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET BUY Down 36¢ $3 7h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET BUY Down 32¢ $3 7h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET BUY Up 33¢ $3 8h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET BUY Up 37¢ $3 8h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
worth copying (survives realistic slippage)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +61%
net ROI/market (all)+48.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1164 +57.5% +42.5% 60% 58% +55.0%
≤30d 1392 +64.4% +48.8% 63% 61% +56.3%
≤90d 1392 +64.4% +48.8% 63% 61% +56.3%
all 1392 +64.4% +48.8% 63% 61% +56.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover345.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +48.8% 61% +56.3%
10% ← realistic here +34.5% 61% +41.4%
15% +21.5% 61% +27.7%
20% +9.6% 60% +15.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1.74 · official $3.06 · 3500 history records