Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:31:38+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

34
0x349e…867b
sports · 603 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$1,268 -6%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1,064 · open −$203
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$914
Realized−$1,064
Unrealized−$203
Win rate (resolved)53%
Wins / losses305 / 273
Est. fees paid−$266
Open positions27
Markets (closed)578 / 603
History coverage16d
Avg bet$33
Trades / day186.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit98%
Chart Positions 27 History 578 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$86
7 days−$866
14 days−$1,122
30 days−$1,064
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Hanwha Life Esports 49¢ 100¢ $207 $422 +$215 (+103%)
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Aurora Gaming 14¢ 16¢ $123 $136 +$13 (+11%)
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner Spirit 82¢ 80¢ $53 $52 −$1 (-1%)
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner Monte 48¢ 100¢ $24 $49 +$25 (+107%)
LoL: Forsaken vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 2 Winner Forsaken 33¢ 32¢ $49 $47 −$2 (-3%)
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs Leviatán Esports 33¢ 20¢ $66 $41 −$25 (-38%)
Game Handicap: KCB (-1.5) vs Forsaken (+1.5) Forsaken 46¢ 50¢ $26 $28 +$2 (+8%)
LoL: Forsaken vs Karmine Corp Blue (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group B Forsaken 23¢ 22¢ $22 $22 −$0 (-2%)
Bonzi vs. Minaur: Match O/U 21.5 Under 62¢ 100¢ $9 $15 +$6 (+60%)
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming - Game 1 Winner Anubis Gaming 34¢ 34¢ $14 $14 +$0 (+1%)
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming - Game 2 Winner Anubis Gaming 35¢ 36¢ $11 $11 +$0 (+2%)
Dota 2: Level UP vs 4ikibamboni - Game 1 Winner Level UP 55¢ 100¢ $6 $10 +$5 (+82%)
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 2 Winner FUT Esports 60¢ 100¢ $6 $10 +$4 (+67%)
Dota 2: Inner Circle vs Nemiga Gaming - Game 1 Winner Nemiga Gaming 56¢ 100¢ $6 $10 +$5 (+78%)
Call of Duty: Paris Gentle Mates vs FaZe Vegas (BO5) - Call of Duty League Stage 4 Major Qualifiers Qualifier Paris Gentle Mates 50¢ 48¢ $10 $9 −$0 (-3%)
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Kamilla Rakhimova Harriet Dart 44¢ 27¢ $12 $7 −$5 (-39%)
Call of Duty: OpTic Texas vs Carolina Royal Ravens - Game 2 Winner Carolina Royal Ravens 36¢ 34¢ $6 $6 −$0 (-3%)
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron Marcos Giron 73¢ 38¢ $12 $6 −$5 (-47%)
LoL: Forsaken vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 1 Winner Forsaken 31¢ 32¢ $6 $6 +$0 (+1%)
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI KT Rolster 13¢ 10¢ $7 $6 −$1 (-18%)
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports - Map 1 Winner Leviatán Esports 43¢ 16¢ $5 $2 −$3 (-63%)
Call of Duty: OpTic Texas vs G2 Minnesota - Game 2 Winner G2 Minnesota 38¢ 36¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-4%)
PEC Zwolle vs. Feyenoord Rotterdam: O/U 1.5 Over 52¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+92%)
Daejeon Hana Citizen FC vs. FC Seoul: O/U 2.5 Over 63¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+59%)
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner PARIVISION 35¢ 0¢ $69 $0 −$69 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
PEC Zwolle vs. Feyenoord Rotterdam: O/U 1.5 Jun 12 $0 +$7 +5228%
Daejeon Hana Citizen FC vs. FC Seoul: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $0 +$35 +34545%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $4 +$1 +23%
BC Zenit vs. Lokomotiv Kuban Jun 12 $12 +$9 +72%
ITF kiseljak: Sergi Perez Contri vs Yanis Ghazouani Durand Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $20 +$11 +56%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner Jun 12 $40 −$18 -44%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2? Jun 12 $80 −$80 -100%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $18 −$18 -100%
Counter-Strike: Virtus.pro vs INOX Division (BO3) - CCT Europe Series Jun 12 $38 −$1 -2%
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs G2 Ares - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $5 +$2 +47%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $28 +$12 +44%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $64 +$56 +88%
ITF Kursumlijska Banja: Marie Mettraux vs Anja Stankovic Jun 12 $5 +$5 +99%
ITF Hurghada: Viktoria Morvayova vs Martyna Kubka Jun 12 $10 +$2 +17%
ITF Hurghada: Polina Iatcenko vs Sara Milanese Jun 12 $36 +$8 +22%
ITF Wuning: Varvara Panshina vs Sara Saito Jun 12 $71 +$21 +29%
ITF Tokyo: Eri Shimizu vs Mayuka Aikawa Jun 12 $12 +$7 +58%
ITF Maanshan: Pawit Sornlaksup vs Thanapet Chanta Jun 12 $74 −$74 -100%
Las Vegas Aces vs. PortlandFire Jun 12 $13 −$13 -100%
Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-10.5) Jun 12 $21 −$21 -100%
Korea Republic leading at halftime? Jun 12 $27 +$6 +23%
Las Vegas Aces vs. PortlandFire: O/U 173.5 Jun 12 $28 −$28 -100%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 10.5 Total Corners Jun 12 $71 +$27 +38%
Phoenix Mercury vs. Dallas Wings Jun 12 $23 +$8 +35%
New York Liberty vs. Atlanta Dream Jun 12 $13 +$2 +16%
Tucuman: Nicolas Kicker vs Nick Hardt Jun 12 $22 +$9 +40%
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 11.5 Jun 12 $54 −$54 -100%
ITF Cuiaba: Giovana Schincariol Delatorre Barbosa vs Carolina Alves Jun 11 $12 +$3 +28%
Tucuman: Federico Coria vs Andrea Collarini Jun 11 $19 −$19 -100%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $54 −$54 -100%
ITF Los Angeles: Alexis Nguyen vs Lily Taylor Jun 11 $20 +$9 +46%
LoL: G2 NORD vs Galions - Game 2 Winner Jun 11 $8 +$4 +53%
LoL: E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS vs HMBLE (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group A Jun 11 $14 −$4 -30%
Game Handicap: EWI (-1.5) vs HMBLE (+1.5) Jun 11 $29 −$16 -56%
Game Handicap: HRTS (-1.5) vs Forsaken (+1.5) Jun 11 $13 −$13 -100%
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Forsaken (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group B Jun 11 $37 −$37 -100%
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Forsaken - Game 2 Winner Jun 11 $47 −$47 -100%
ITF Los Angeles: Salma Ewing vs Maria Aytoyan Jun 11 $7 +$17 +246%
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs HEROIC Academy - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $10 +$5 +51%
Tucuman: Thiago Cigarran vs Juan Estevez Jun 11 $15 +$9 +57%
ITF Los Angeles: Abigail Haile vs Alina Shcherbinina Jun 11 $12 −$12 -100%
LoL: E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS vs HMBLE - Game 1 Winner Jun 11 $73 −$65 -88%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $63 +$33 +53%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $7 +$3 +38%
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Forsaken - Game 1 Winner Jun 11 $71 −$71 -100%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlins Jun 11 $24 +$17 +69%
LoL: Misa Esports vs UCAM Esports Club (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group A Jun 11 $22 +$74 +341%
Game Handicap: ME (-1.5) vs UCAM Esports Club (+1.5) Jun 11 $69 +$63 +91%
LoL: Misa Esports vs UCAM Esports Club - Game 2 Winner Jun 11 $20 +$44 +214%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 98% −$1,260
other 2% −$50
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Call of Duty: Paris Gentle Mates vs FaZe Vegas (BO5) - Call of Duty Le BUY Paris Gentle Mates 50¢ $10 16m
Call of Duty: OpTic Texas vs Carolina Royal Ravens - Game 2 Winner BUY Carolina Royal Ravens 36¢ $4 20m
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner BUY Spirit 81¢ $19 24m
LoL: Forsaken vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 2 Winner BUY Forsaken 32¢ $3 25m
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron BUY Marcos Giron 73¢ $12 29m
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Pla BUY Leviatán Esports 33¢ $54 35m
LoL: Forsaken vs Karmine Corp Blue (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group B BUY Forsaken 23¢ $5 36m
LoL: Forsaken vs Karmine Corp Blue (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group B BUY Forsaken 23¢ $1 37m
LoL: Forsaken vs Karmine Corp Blue (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group B BUY Forsaken 23¢ $1 40m
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Aurora Gaming 14¢ $127 42m
LoL: Forsaken vs Karmine Corp Blue (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group B BUY Forsaken 23¢ $5 43m
Call of Duty: OpTic Texas vs Carolina Royal Ravens - Game 2 Winner BUY Carolina Royal Ravens 35¢ $1 45m
LoL: Forsaken vs Karmine Corp Blue (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group B BUY Forsaken 23¢ $5 48m
Call of Duty: OpTic Texas vs Carolina Royal Ravens - Game 2 Winner BUY Carolina Royal Ravens 35¢ $2 49m
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports - Map 1 Winner BUY Leviatán Esports 43¢ $3 49m
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports - Map 1 Winner BUY Leviatán Esports 43¢ $2 50m
Call of Duty: OpTic Texas vs G2 Minnesota - Game 2 Winner BUY G2 Minnesota 38¢ $1 53m
Dota 2: Inner Circle vs Nemiga Gaming - Game 1 Winner BUY Nemiga Gaming 56¢ $6 55m
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner BUY Spirit 82¢ $17 1h
Dota 2: Level UP vs 4ikibamboni - Game 1 Winner BUY Level UP 55¢ $6 1h
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Pla BUY Leviatán Esports 34¢ $3 1h
Bonzi vs. Minaur: Match O/U 21.5 BUY Under 62¢ $10 1h
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Pla BUY Leviatán Esports 34¢ $1 1h
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Kamilla Rakhimova BUY Harriet Dart 44¢ $12 1h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner BUY PARIVISION 35¢ $35 1h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner BUY PARIVISION 35¢ $36 1h
LoL: Forsaken vs Karmine Corp Blue (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group B BUY Forsaken 23¢ $4 1h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner BUY Monte 47¢ $20 1h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 2 Winner BUY G2 37¢ $40 1h
LoL: Forsaken vs Karmine Corp Blue (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group B BUY Forsaken 23¢ $2 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +52%
net ROI/market (all)-2.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 306 +5.1% -4.9% 52% 50% -18.7%
≤30d 578 +7.8% -2.5% 53% 52% -15.3%
≤90d 578 +7.8% -2.5% 53% 52% -15.3%
all 578 +7.8% -2.5% 53% 52% -15.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover186.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -2.5% 52% -15.3%
10% ← realistic here -11.8% 48% -23.4%
15% -20.3% 40% -30.8%
20% -28.1% 29% -37.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $914.48 · official $914.05 (match) · 3500 history records