Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T22:21:39+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

34
0x34a4…7fa4
crypto · 1301 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$280 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$280 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$280
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)97%
Wins / losses1289 / 38
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1327 / 1301
History coverage3d
Avg bet$24
Trades / day695.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit80%
Chart Positions 0 History 1327 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$292
7 days−$280
14 days−$280
30 days−$280
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
BNB Up or Down - June 5, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Down 99¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Down 99¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Up 97¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Down 99¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 5, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Down 99¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 5, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Down 95¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - June 10, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Down 99¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Up 99¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Down 96¢ 0¢ $19 $0 −$19 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Down 99¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 5, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Down 99¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 5, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Up 97¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 8, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Up 97¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Down 97¢ 0¢ $29 $0 −$29 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Down 99¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Up 99¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Up 99¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Down 99¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - June 5, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Up 99¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Up 99¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Up 96¢ 0¢ $19 $0 −$19 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Down 99¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Down 97¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 5, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Down 98¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Up 97¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
BNB Up or Down - June 5, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 13 $20 −$20 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 5, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 5, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 10, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 13 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 13 $19 −$19 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 5, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 13 $20 −$20 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 5, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 13 $20 −$20 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 8, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 5, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 13 $30 −$30 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 13 $19 −$19 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 13 $20 −$20 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 5, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 13 $20 −$20 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 3, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 7, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 5, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 13 $20 −$20 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 8, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 5, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 13 $9 −$9 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 7, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 5, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 13 $30 −$30 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 2, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 13 $20 −$20 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 13 $15 $0 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 13 $30 $0 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 13 $30 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 13 $15 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 13 $15 $0 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 13 $45 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 13 $25 $0 +2%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 13 $25 $0 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 13 $45 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 13 $45 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 13 $41 +$5 +11%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 13 $45 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 13 $15 $0 +2%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 13 $45 $0 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 13 $45 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 13 $15 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 13 $30 $0 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 13 $45 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 13 $45 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 13 $45 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 13 $44 +$1 +2%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 13 $30 $0 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 13 $15 $0 +2%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 79% +$121
other 21% −$11
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $15 6m
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $15 17m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $15 17m
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $15 17m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $15 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $15 21m
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $15 22m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $15 22m
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $15 22m
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 22m
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $15 22m
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 26m
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $15 26m
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 36m
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1 36m
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $15 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $15 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $15 41m
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $15 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $15 42m
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $15 42m
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $15 42m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $15 46m
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $15 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $14 47m
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $15 47m
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $15 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET BUY Up 87¢ $13 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET BUY Up 87¢ $13 47m
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $15 47m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-10.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1327 -1.5% -10.9% 97% 0% -10.3%
≤30d 1327 -1.5% -10.9% 97% 0% -10.3%
≤90d 1327 -1.5% -10.9% 97% 0% -10.3%
all 1327 -1.5% -10.9% 97% 0% -10.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover695.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.9% 0% -10.3%
10% ← realistic here -19.4% 0% -18.9%
15% -27.2% 0% -26.7%
20% -34.3% 0% -33.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records