Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T00:20:23+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

34
0x34b2…03e1
crypto · 95 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$331 -4%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$280 · open −$51
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$144
Realized−$280
Unrealized−$51
Win rate (resolved)52%
Wins / losses48 / 45
Open positions2
Markets (closed)93 / 95
History coverage2d
Avg bet$82
Trades / day743.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 2 History 93 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$280
7 days−$280
14 days−$280
30 days−$280
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Down 68¢ 96¢ $95 $135 +$39 (+41%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Up 0¢ 50¢ $0 $5 +$5 (+0%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Up 66¢ 4¢ $60 $4 −$56 (-93%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Up 31¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Up 26¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 14 $103 +$12 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 14 $113 −$35 -31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 14 $119 +$36 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 14 $94 −$18 -19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 13 $76 −$1 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 13 $96 +$24 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 13 $125 +$25 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 13 $114 −$67 -59%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 13 $40 −$25 -63%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 13 $142 +$4 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 13 $79 +$11 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 13 $66 +$13 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 13 $58 −$1 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 13 $88 −$42 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 13 $118 −$81 -68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 13 $65 −$4 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 13 $54 +$3 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 13 $98 −$5 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 13 $138 +$12 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 13 $107 −$73 -68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 13 $128 +$5 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 13 $58 +$24 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 13 $127 +$29 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 13 $116 −$75 -65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 13 $141 −$77 -54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 13 $125 +$22 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 13 $114 +$17 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 13 $116 +$8 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 13 $220 +$59 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 13 $231 −$6 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 13 $70 +$3 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 13 $77 +$18 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 13 $101 +$33 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 13 $48 −$5 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 13 $65 −$3 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 13 $75 −$9 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 13 $49 +$17 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 13 $82 −$4 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 13 $53 +$10 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 13 $45 +$2 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 13 $105 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 13 $19 −$9 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 13 $42 +$7 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 13 $75 −$8 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 13 $62 −$10 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 13 $36 −$2 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 13 $54 −$25 -46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 13 $81 −$47 -58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 13 $105 −$8 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 13 $61 −$22 -36%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$331
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $6 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Up 22¢ $2 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Down 84¢ $12 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Down 74¢ $14 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Down 74¢ $13 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Down 74¢ $14 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Down 74¢ $13 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Down 67¢ $8 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Down 59¢ $5 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $5 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $3 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Down 33¢ $3 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Up 80¢ $9 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Up 79¢ $11 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Up 78¢ $15 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Up 69¢ $11 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Up 65¢ $8 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $5 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Down 62¢ $7 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Up 76¢ $9 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 40¢ $1 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 36¢ $3 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Up 75¢ $9 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 39¢ $1 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 39¢ $1 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Up 72¢ $12 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Up 59¢ $6 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 37¢ $3 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 33¢ $3 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 40¢ $4 10m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +40%
net ROI/market (all)-13.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 93 -3.9% -13.0% 52% 40% -12.9%
≤30d 93 -3.9% -13.0% 52% 40% -12.9%
≤90d 93 -3.9% -13.0% 52% 40% -12.9%
all 93 -3.9% -13.0% 52% 40% -12.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover743.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -13.0% 40% -12.9%
10% ← realistic here -21.3% 24% -21.2%
15% -28.9% 8% -28.8%
20% -35.9% 4% -35.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $144.06 · official $110.53 · 1242 history records