Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T10:44:09+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
34 0x34c6…d0db crypto 691 markets active 0h ago coverage 1d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 1d only
✗ bot/MM pace (3479 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ only 1d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL +$2,245 (+315%) realized +$2,213 · open +$32
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -29% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -46% what you keep after slip
Net edge-46%after slip
Net WR4%break-even
Win rate4%20W / 494L
Drawdown42%max
Avg bet$1per market
Trades / day3479.0pace
Kalshi-fit80%portable
Net worth$38now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 1d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 93% +$946
other 7% +$146
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (3479 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +4%
net ROI/market (all)-36.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 514 -29.4% -36.1% 4% 4% -6.2%
≤30d 514 -29.4% -36.1% 4% 4% -6.2%
≤90d 514 -29.4% -36.1% 4% 4% -6.2%
all 514 -29.4% -36.1% 4% 4% -6.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover3479.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -36.1% 4% -6.2%
10% ← realistic here -42.2% 4% -15.2%
15% -47.8% 4% -23.4%
20% -52.9% 4% -30.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 26% · top 2 48% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +115% fresh edge ✓
Fragile wins
0% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -29% · $-wt +115% edge needs big-bet sizing — not flat-copyable
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +41% → late -100% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
5.0 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$56 vs −$1 · ×54.56 wins bigger than losses
Profit factor
×2.21 per $1 lost it wins $2.21
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

1d coverage
Net worth$38
Realized+$2,213
Unrealized+$32
Win rate (resolved)4%
Wins / losses20 / 494
Open positions6
Markets (closed)514 / 691
History coverage1d ⚠
Avg bet$1
Trades / day3479.0
Drawdown42%
Kalshi-fit80%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 6 History 514 Trades
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Down 0¢ 50¢ $0 $35 +$35 (+0%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $3 $2 −$2 (-50%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $1 $1 −$1 (-50%)
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$0 (-50%)
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$0 (-50%)
BNB Up or Down - June 17, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-95%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%). Plus 494 resolved losing bets — already counted in realized PnL, so not shown here.
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 17 $0 $0 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 17 $0 $0 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 17 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 17 $0 $0 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 17 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 17 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 17 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 17 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 17 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 17 $0 $0 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 17 $0 $0 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 17 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 16, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 17 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 17 $0 $0 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 17 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 17 $0 $0 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET BUY Down 1¢ $0 0m
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET BUY Down 1¢ $0 0m
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET BUY Down 1¢ $0 0m
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET BUY Down 1¢ $0 0m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $1 4m
BNB Up or Down - June 17, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $0 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $3 4m
BNB Up or Down - June 17, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $0 4m
BNB Up or Down - June 17, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $0 4m
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $0 4m
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $0 4m
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $0 4m
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $0 4m
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $0 4m
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $0 4m
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $0 4m
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $0 4m
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $0 4m
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $0 4m
BNB Up or Down - June 17, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $0 4m
BNB Up or Down - June 17, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $0 4m
BNB Up or Down - June 17, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $0 4m
BNB Up or Down - June 17, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $0 4m
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $1 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET BUY Down 1¢ $3 9m
BNB Up or Down - June 17, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $0 9m
BNB Up or Down - June 17, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $0 9m
BNB Up or Down - June 17, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $0 9m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET BUY Down 1¢ $1 9m
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET BUY Down 1¢ $0 9m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $38.22 · official $38.22 (match) · 3500 history records