Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T19:56:23+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

34
0x34c8…ab39
crypto · 879 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$999 +14%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$1,076 · open −$60
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$393
Realized+$1,076
Unrealized−$60
Win rate (resolved)47%
Wins / losses404 / 463
Est. fees paid−$15
Open positions12
Markets (closed)867 / 879
History coverage17d
Avg bet$8
Trades / day163.0
Drawdown43%
Kalshi-fit89%
Chart Positions 12 History 867 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$91
7 days+$249
14 days+$313
30 days+$1,076
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA - Map 2 Winner FURIA 63¢ 100¢ $100 $159 +$59 (+60%)
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? No 53¢ 50¢ $65 $60 −$5 (-7%)
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 1 Winner Spirit 59¢ 94¢ $35 $56 +$21 (+60%)
Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs BetBoom Team (+1.5) FURIA 54¢ 100¢ $24 $45 +$21 (+85%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 15? No 57¢ 44¢ $46 $35 −$11 (-23%)
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Spirit 93¢ 92¢ $17 $17 −$0 (-1%)
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30? No 68¢ 68¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-1%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 14? No 60¢ 36¢ $12 $7 −$5 (-41%)
Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026? Yes 26¢ 12¢ $10 $5 −$5 (-52%)
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 PARIVISION 40¢ 0¢ $67 $0 −$67 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA - Map 2 Winner BetBoom Team 35¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BetBoom Team 22¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner PARIVISION 35¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs MOUZ (+1.5) Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $204 +$47 +23%
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs Monte (+1.5) Jun 13 $3 +$3 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 13 $30 +$20 +66%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 13 $36 +$28 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $43 +$8 +20%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
HSBC Championships: Katie Boulter vs Donna Vekic Jun 13 $22 +$25 +110%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +25%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 13 $12 −$9 -76%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +37%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +12%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Ilkley: Dane Sweeny vs Toby Samuel Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 13 $28 −$28 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 13 $13 +$4 +29%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +3%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $7 +$1 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 13 $8 −$5 -55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 13 $7 −$5 -71%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$2 -37%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 13 $12 −$12 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 13 $12 −$8 -68%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $4 +$6 +123%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 13 $23 +$5 +22%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$7 -71%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +7%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 13 $12 +$16 +133%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$2 +65%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 78% +$892
sports 16% +$142
other 4% −$16
world 1% −$4
finance 0% +$2
politics 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 1 Winner BUY Spirit 54¢ $1 4m
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 1 Winner BUY Spirit 54¢ $1 5m
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 1 Winner BUY Spirit 54¢ $1 5m
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 1 Winner BUY Spirit 54¢ $1 5m
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 1 Winner BUY Spirit 54¢ $1 5m
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 1 Winner BUY Spirit 54¢ $1 5m
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 1 Winner BUY Spirit 54¢ $1 5m
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 1 Winner BUY Spirit 54¢ $1 5m
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 1 Winner BUY Spirit 54¢ $1 5m
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 1 Winner BUY Spirit 54¢ $1 5m
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 1 Winner BUY Spirit 54¢ $1 5m
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 1 Winner BUY Spirit 54¢ $1 5m
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 1 Winner BUY Spirit 54¢ $1 5m
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 1 Winner BUY Spirit 54¢ $1 5m
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 1 Winner BUY Spirit 61¢ $1 18m
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 1 Winner BUY Spirit 60¢ $1 18m
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 1 Winner BUY Spirit 60¢ $1 18m
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 1 Winner BUY Spirit 64¢ $1 18m
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 1 Winner BUY Spirit 64¢ $1 18m
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 1 Winner BUY Spirit 63¢ $1 19m
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 1 Winner BUY Spirit 65¢ $1 19m
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 1 Winner BUY Spirit 65¢ $1 19m
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 1 Winner BUY Spirit 65¢ $1 19m
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 1 Winner BUY Spirit 65¢ $1 19m
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 1 Winner BUY Spirit 65¢ $1 19m
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 1 Winner BUY Spirit 65¢ $1 19m
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 1 Winner BUY Spirit 65¢ $1 19m
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 1 Winner BUY Spirit 65¢ $1 19m
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 1 Winner BUY Spirit 65¢ $1 19m
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 1 Winner BUY Spirit 65¢ $1 19m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +39%
net ROI/market (all)-11.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 420 +0.8% -8.8% 51% 46% -5.6%
≤30d 867 -2.0% -11.3% 47% 39% +2.5%
≤90d 867 -2.0% -11.3% 47% 39% +2.5%
all 867 -2.0% -11.3% 47% 39% +2.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover163.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -11.3% 39% +2.5%
10% ← realistic here -19.8% 33% -7.3%
15% -27.6% 28% -16.2%
20% -34.7% 23% -24.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $393.42 · official $393.42 (match) · 3500 history records