trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | +0.0% | -9.5% | 0% | 0% | -9.5% |
| ≤30d | 8 | +1.9% | -7.8% | 38% | 12% | -7.6% |
| ≤90d | 8 | +1.9% | -7.8% | 38% | 12% | -7.6% |
| all | 26 | -8.8% | -17.5% | 50% | 8% | -8.1% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -17.5% | 8% | -8.1% |
| 10% | -25.4% | 0% | -16.9% |
| 15% | -32.6% | 0% | -24.9% |
| 20% | -39.2% | 0% | -32.3% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30? | No | 93¢ | 84¢ | $39 | $35 | −$4 (-10%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parlia | Jun 23 | $17 | $0 | +0% |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30? | Jun 02 | $112 | +$2 | +2% |
| Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | May 31 | $38 | $0 | +0% |
| Israel closes its airspace by May 31? | May 30 | $5 | $0 | +0% |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? | May 30 | $42 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra | May 30 | $35 | +$4 | +11% |
| Will Alberta join the US? | May 29 | $25 | $0 | +0% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | May 28 | $33 | +$1 | +3% |
| Will the Houston Texans win Super Bowl 2026? | Dec 17 | $2 | $0 | -3% |
| Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025? | Jun 26 | $10 | $0 | +4% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $150k in May? | Jun 02 | $2 | $0 | +2% |
| Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days? | Apr 26 | $2 | $0 | +2% |
| Will Trump pardon CZ in his first 100 days? | Apr 17 | $12 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Atalanta win the Serie A? | Mar 30 | $1 | $0 | +0% |
| Bolsonaro arrested before April? | Mar 28 | $1 | −$1 | -75% |
| Ethena USDe depeg before April? | Mar 28 | $14 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Elon tweet 325-349 times March 21-28? | Mar 27 | $13 | +$1 | +6% |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after March 2025 meeting? | Mar 21 | $13 | $0 | +1% |
| Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 49-50°F on March 14? | Mar 15 | $12 | +$1 | +6% |
| Will the Winnipeg Jets win the 2025 Stanley Cup? | Mar 14 | $5 | $0 | -1% |
| Will egg prices be between $5.25 and $5.50 in February? | Mar 14 | $13 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Feyenoord or Inter Milan advance in the UCL Round of 16? | Mar 12 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will the highest temperature in NYC be 56°F or below on March 11? | Mar 12 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will Club Brugge or Aston Villa advance in the UCL Round of 16? | Mar 10 | $13 | $0 | -0% |
| Syracuse vs. SMU | Mar 06 | $13 | +$2 | +14% |
| Will Trump's joint address to Congress be 50-60 min? | Mar 04 | $13 | $0 | +0% |