trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 5 | -9.5% | -18.1% | 60% | 40% | -8.5% |
| ≤30d | 25 | -13.3% | -21.5% | 48% | 32% | +3.0% |
| ≤90d | 29 | -13.7% | -22.0% | 48% | 34% | +2.9% |
| all | 29 | -13.7% | -22.0% | 48% | 34% | +2.9% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -22.0% | 34% | +2.9% |
| 10% | -29.4% | 31% | -6.9% |
| 15% | -36.2% | 31% | -15.9% |
| 20% | -42.5% | 24% | -24.2% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the minimum Arctic sea ice extent this summer be between 4.2m & 4 | Jun 20 | $13 | +$2 | +17% |
| Will the minimum Arctic sea ice extent this summer be less than 4m squ | Jun 18 | $176 | +$2 | +1% |
| Will the minimum Arctic sea ice extent this summer be between 4.6m & 4 | Jun 16 | $99 | −$2 | -2% |
| Will Egypt win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 16 | $4 | −$4 | -100% |
| Will Belgium vs. Egypt end in a draw? | Jun 16 | $14 | +$5 | +36% |
| Will global temperature increase by less than 1.10ºC in May 2026? | Jun 10 | $283 | −$122 | -43% |
| Will May 2026 be the 1st hottest on record? | Jun 10 | $1,711 | +$800 | +47% |
| Will May 2026 be the 2nd hottest on record? | Jun 10 | $954 | +$59 | +6% |
| Will global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in May 2 | Jun 10 | $580 | +$60 | +10% |
| Will global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in May 2 | Jun 08 | $1,043 | +$37 | +4% |
| Will May 2026 be the 3rd hottest on record? | Jun 04 | $185 | −$42 | -22% |
| Will London have between 5-10mm of precipitation in May? | Jun 03 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will NYC have between 2 and 3 inches of precipitation in May? | Jun 01 | $3 | +$2 | +91% |
| Will Hong Kong have between 230-240mm of precipitation in May? | Jun 01 | $8 | −$8 | -100% |
| Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on May 29? | Jun 01 | $6 | −$6 | -100% |
| Will Hong Kong have between 220-230mm of precipitation in May? | Jun 01 | $27 | +$23 | +87% |
| Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on May 29? | Jun 01 | $5 | +$8 | +172% |
| Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on May 28? | May 29 | $8 | −$8 | -100% |
| Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on May 28? | May 29 | $7 | +$13 | +181% |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on May 26? | May 29 | $3 | −$3 | -100% |
| Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on May 26? | May 29 | $3 | −$3 | -100% |
| Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on May 27? | May 29 | $6 | −$6 | -100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C or higher on May 26? | May 27 | $5 | +$3 | +58% |
| Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on May 25? | May 26 | $4 | −$4 | -100% |
| Will May 2026 be the 4th or lower hottest on record? | May 23 | $108 | −$81 | -74% |
| Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 22°C on May 9? | May 20 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on May 3? | May 20 | $3 | −$3 | -100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on May 7? | May 07 | $3 | +$2 | +75% |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on May 5? | May 07 | $3 | +$2 | +58% |