Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T19:45:09+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
34 0x34e8…065d crypto 364 markets active 1h ago coverage 28d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 27d onlyP/L from Polymarket (history capped)
✗ bot/MM pace (121 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ on-chain reconstruction ≠ official P&L (longshot/capped history)✗ profits on perfect fills only — loses on real✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage
Total PnL +$2,332 (+0%) realized +$2,384 · open −$52
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +20% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -17% what you keep after slip
Net edge-17%after slip
Net WR1%break-even
Win rate99%352W / 5L
Whale WR99%big bets
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$2,369per market
Trades / day121.4pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$18,788now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 97% +$869
weather 3% −$1,082
world 0% +$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (121 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +1%
net ROI/market (all)+8.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 97 +74.9% +58.2% 97% 4% -9.5%
≤30d 357 +19.9% +8.5% 99% 1% -9.5%
≤90d 357 +19.9% +8.5% 99% 1% -9.5%
all 357 +19.9% +8.5% 99% 1% -9.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover121.4 tr/day
realistic slip~18%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +8.5% 1% -9.5%
10% -1.9% 1% -18.2%
15% ← realistic here -11.4% 1% -26.1%
20% -20.1% 1% -33.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 6% · top 2 11% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -0% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
99% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +20% · $-wt -0% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR 99% (≥$2,569) strong on big bets
Persistence
early -1% → late +41% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
3.1 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$3 vs −$236 · ×0.01 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.86 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $700 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

28d coverage
Net worth$18,788
Realized+$2,384
Unrealized−$52
Win rate (resolved)99%
Wins / losses352 / 5
Whale WR (big bets)99%
Open positions7
Markets (closed)357 / 364
History coverage28d ⚠
Avg bet$2,369
Trades / day121.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 7 History 357 Trades
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,500 on June 18? Yes 100¢ 100¢ $11,375 $11,349 −$26 (-0%)
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,400 and $1,500 on June 18? No 100¢ 100¢ $3,308 $3,305 −$3 (-0%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 18? Yes 100¢ 99¢ $2,857 $2,834 −$23 (-1%)
Will the price of Solana be between $50 and $60 on June 18? No 100¢ 100¢ $761 $762 +$1 (+0%)
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on June 18? No 100¢ 100¢ $299 $299 −$0 (-0%)
Will the price of XRP be above $1.00 on June 18? Yes 100¢ 100¢ $233 $233 +$0 (+0%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $56,000 and $58,000 on June 18? No 100¢ 100¢ $6 $6 +$0 (+0%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%). Plus 6 resolved losing bets — already counted in realized PnL, so not shown here.
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 18? Jun 17 $5,011 +$5 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,300 and $1,400 on June 17? Jun 17 $41 $0 +0%
Will the price of Solana be between $90 and $100 on June 17? Jun 17 $24 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 17? Jun 17 $12,963 +$13 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 17? Jun 17 $3,394 +$3 +0%
Will the price of Solana be between $50 and $60 on June 17? Jun 17 $2,994 +$3 +0%
Will Bitcoin dip to $61,000 on June 16? Jun 17 $7 $0 +0%
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 on June 16? Jun 16 $499 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on June 17? Jun 16 $929 +$1 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 16? Jun 16 $9,975 +$16 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $2,100 on June 17? Jun 16 $95 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on June 16? Jun 16 $1,896 +$2 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 16? Jun 16 $804 +$1 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 16? Jun 16 $10,980 +$9 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on June 16? Jun 16 $4,990 +$5 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 17? Jun 16 $9,706 +$9 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 17? Jun 16 $2,721 +$3 +0%
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 on June 15? Jun 16 $5 $0 +0%
Will Solana dip to $55 on June 15? Jun 16 $5 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,400 on June 16? Jun 15 $499 $0 +0%
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 on June 15? Jun 15 $1,971 +$2 +0%
Will Bitcoin dip to $59,000 on June 15? Jun 15 $1,506 +$1 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on June 16? Jun 15 $3,192 +$3 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 16? Jun 15 $13,802 +$14 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $72,000 on June 15? Jun 15 $1,028 +$1 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $70,000 on June 16? Jun 15 $1,989 −$30 -2%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 16? Jun 15 $2,955 −$34 -1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on June 15? Jun 15 $3,706 +$4 +0%
Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 June 8-14? Jun 15 $1,996 +$4 +0%
Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 June 8-14? Jun 15 $499 +$1 +0%
Will Ethereum dip to $1,450 on June 14? Jun 15 $998 +$2 +0%
Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 on June 14? Jun 15 $25 $0 +0%
Will Bitcoin dip to $59,000 on June 14? Jun 14 $1,996 +$2 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $56,000 and $58,000 on June 15? Jun 14 $1,269 +$1 +0%
Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 on June 14? Jun 14 $1,996 +$2 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 15? Jun 14 $5,988 +$6 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 15? Jun 14 $5,400 +$8 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 15? Jun 14 $4,990 +$4 +0%
Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 on June 13? Jun 14 $30 $0 +0%
Will Solana dip to $50 on June 13? Jun 14 $307 +$1 +0%
Will Bitcoin reach $71,000 on June 13? Jun 14 $100 $0 +0%
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,000 on June 13? Jun 14 $109 $0 +0%
Will Bitcoin reach $69,000 on June 13? Jun 14 $114 $0 +0%
Will Solana reach $90 on June 13? Jun 14 $49 $0 +0%
Will Ethereum reach $1,950 on June 13? Jun 14 $130 $0 +0%
Will Ethereum reach $2,000 on June 13? Jun 14 $237 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 14? Jun 14 $7,984 +$8 +0%
Will Ethereum dip to $1,350 on June 13? Jun 14 $350 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on June 14? Jun 14 $4,742 +$5 +0%
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 on June 13? Jun 13 $211 $0 +0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 18? SELL Yes 100¢ $30 46m
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 18? SELL Yes 100¢ $2,133 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 18? SELL Yes 100¢ $314 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 18? SELL Yes 100¢ $2,001 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 18? SELL Yes 100¢ $2,000 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 18? SELL Yes 100¢ $701 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 18? SELL Yes 100¢ $90 3h
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,500 on June 18? BUY Yes 100¢ $3,394 4h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 17? SELL Yes 100¢ $3,397 5h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 17? BUY Yes 100¢ $399 6h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 17? BUY Yes 100¢ $2,994 6h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 18? BUY Yes 100¢ $47 6h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 18? BUY Yes 100¢ $998 8h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 18? BUY Yes 100¢ $1,996 8h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 18? BUY Yes 100¢ $1,949 9h
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,500 on June 18? BUY Yes 100¢ $2,026 11h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 18? BUY Yes 100¢ $365 11h
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on June 18? BUY No 100¢ $72 11h
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on June 18? BUY No 100¢ $6 11h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 18? BUY Yes 100¢ $7 11h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 18? BUY Yes 100¢ $11 11h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 18? BUY Yes 100¢ $6 11h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 18? BUY Yes 100¢ $259 11h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 18? BUY Yes 100¢ $2 11h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 18? BUY Yes 100¢ $249 12h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 18? BUY Yes 100¢ $296 12h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 18? BUY Yes 100¢ $598 12h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 18? BUY Yes 100¢ $1,196 12h
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on June 18? BUY No 100¢ $222 12h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 18? BUY Yes 100¢ $366 12h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $18,788.13 · official $18,787.20 (match) · 3500 history records