Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T17:07:27+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

34
0x34e9…7e8c
sports · 1805 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
+$87 +3%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$940 · open −$16
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY sports specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$124
Realized+$940
Unrealized−$16
Win rate (resolved)36%
Wins / losses406 / 737
Est. fees paid−$49
Open positions107
Markets (closed)1143 / 1805
History coverage24d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day124.6
Drawdown10%
Kalshi-fit83%
Chart Positions 107 History 1143 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$21
7 days+$33
14 days+$108
30 days+$940
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 26°C on June 14? Yes 12¢ 100¢ $2 $17 +$15 (+754%)
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 82-83°F on June 14? Yes 2¢ 9¢ $2 $11 +$9 (+427%)
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 24°C on June 14? Yes 13¢ 98¢ $1 $8 +$7 (+655%)
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 84-85°F on June 14? Yes 9¢ 17¢ $3 $6 +$3 (+96%)
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C on June 14? Yes 22¢ 100¢ $1 $5 +$4 (+354%)
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16°C on June 15? Yes 9¢ 18¢ $2 $4 +$2 (+116%)
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on June 15? Yes 6¢ 10¢ $2 $3 +$1 (+65%)
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 15? Yes 11¢ 10¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-2%)
Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on June 15? Yes 15¢ 37¢ $1 $2 +$1 (+147%)
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 80-81°F on June 15? Yes 14¢ 30¢ $1 $2 +$1 (+111%)
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 86-87°F on June 14? Yes 1¢ 4¢ $0 $2 +$2 (+357%)
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on June 15? Yes 17¢ 36¢ $1 $2 +$1 (+109%)
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on June 15? Yes 13¢ 14¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+10%)
Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees New York Yankees 52¢ 52¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+0%)
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 31°C on June 16? Yes 9¢ 18¢ $1 $2 +$1 (+100%)
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 12°C on June 14? Yes 7¢ 5¢ $3 $2 −$1 (-33%)
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on June 16? Yes 16¢ 30¢ $1 $2 +$1 (+87%)
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on June 14? Yes 5¢ 11¢ $1 $2 +$1 (+105%)
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 16°C on June 15? Yes 7¢ 12¢ $1 $2 +$1 (+79%)
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on June 15? Yes 1¢ 0¢ $3 $2 −$2 (-48%)
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 23°C on June 15? Yes 6¢ 6¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-5%)
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C on June 15? Yes 5¢ 4¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-18%)
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on June 16? Yes 21¢ 16¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-23%)
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on June 15? Yes 7¢ 10¢ $1 $2 +$1 (+59%)
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C on June 16? Yes 7¢ 5¢ $2 $1 −$1 (-28%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Connecticut Sun vs. Seattle Storm Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Chengdu Rongcheng FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC: O/U 3.5 Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Will FC Utrecht win on 2026-05-21? Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
SC Freiburg vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 0.5 Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
AA Ponte Preta vs. Londrina EC: O/U 4.5 Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Club Olimpia vs. CR Vasco da Gama: O/U 1.5 Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Al Fayha Saudi Club vs. Al Hilal Saudi Club: O/U 1.5 Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
AFC Bournemouth vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 4.5 Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
NEOM SC vs. Al Ettifaq Saudi Club: O/U 4.5 Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
AFC Bournemouth leading at halftime? Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Club Olimpia win on 2026-05-20? Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Liquid (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Will CA Boston River win on 2026-05-20? Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Will CA Platense win on 2026-05-19? Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Chelsea FC leading at halftime? Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Spread: Shanghai Shenhua FC (-1.5) Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Shanghai Haigang FC win on 2026-05-19? Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
SC Freiburg vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 5.5 Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Cervia: Manoj Dhamne Manas vs Mitchell Krueger Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Chelsea FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 4.5 Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Will FC Utrecht vs. SC Heerenveen end in a draw? Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Beijing Guoan FC leading at halftime? Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Chengdu Rongcheng FC win on 2026-05-19? Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
AC Monza vs. SS Juve Stabia: O/U 4.5 Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Fluminense FC vs. Club Bolívar: O/U 2.5 Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 228.5 Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Arsenal FC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 5.5 Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Kahrabaa Ismailia FC vs. Haras El Hodood SC: O/U 2.5 Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Canadiens vs. Hurricanes Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
AC Monza vs. SS Juve Stabia: Both Teams to Score Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
LoL: DN SOOPers vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - Esports World Cup Korea Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Aurora - Game 2 Winner Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Brøndby IF vs. FC København: O/U 2.5 Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Counter-Strike: paiN vs M80 (BO1) - CS Asia Championships Group A Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Canadiens vs. Sabres Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Boston Red Sox vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 6.5 Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Spread: Thunder (-11.5) Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Pharco FC win on 2026-05-18? Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Club Olimpia vs. CR Vasco da Gama: Both Teams to Score Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Santos FC vs. CA San Lorenzo de Almagro: O/U 3.5 Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 11.5 Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs MIBR (BO1) - CS Asia Championships Group B Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Fluminense FC vs. Club Bolívar: O/U 4.5 Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
FC Hermannstadt vs. FCSB: O/U 1.5 Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 29°C on June 14? Jun 14 $1 +$5 +500%
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 82-83°F on June 13? Jun 14 $1 +$11 +1095%
Houston Astros vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 9.5 Jun 14 $1 +$1 +101%
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 8.5 Jun 14 $1 +$1 +97%
Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 6.5 Jun 13 $1 +$3 +262%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 8.5 Jun 13 $1 +$1 +86%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 74% +$779
other 19% +$149
weather 7% +$50
crypto 0% +$15
finance 0% −$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw? BUY Yes 5¢ $1 32m
Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 4.5 BUY Under 21¢ $1 44m
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs INOX Division - Map 2 Winner BUY INOX Division 1¢ $1 1h
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? AND Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14? BUY 2¢ $2 1h
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on Ju BUY Yes 9¢ $1 1h
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C on June 15? BUY Yes 5¢ $1 1h
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on June 15? BUY Yes 19¢ $1 1h
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 82-83°F on June 14? BUY Yes 8¢ $1 2h
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 86-87°F on June 14? BUY Yes 1¢ $0 2h
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 13°C on June 14? BUY Yes 2¢ $1 2h
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on June 15? BUY Yes 1¢ $1 2h
San Diego Padres vs. Baltimore Orioles BUY San Diego Padres 44¢ $1 3h
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets BUY Atlanta Braves 47¢ $1 3h
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on June 16? BUY Yes 23¢ $1 3h
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on June 16? BUY Yes 8¢ $1 3h
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 31°C on June 16? BUY Yes 4¢ $1 3h
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 30°C on June 15? BUY Yes 9¢ $1 4h
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on June 14? BUY Yes 1¢ $1 4h
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 15? BUY Yes 6¢ $1 4h
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Taylor Fritz BUY Taylor Fritz 50¢ $1 4h
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on June 15? BUY Yes 10¢ $1 5h
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on June 15? BUY Yes 1¢ $1 5h
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on June 15? BUY Yes 1¢ $1 5h
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 39°C on June 14? BUY Yes 1¢ $1 6h
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 28°C or below on June 15? BUY Yes 5¢ $1 6h
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on Ju BUY Yes 2¢ $1 6h
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 76-77°F on June 15? BUY Yes 11¢ $1 6h
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 29°C on June 14? BUY Yes 1¢ $1 6h
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on June BUY Yes 12¢ $1 6h
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 27°C on June 15? BUY Yes 5¢ $1 7h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +34%
net ROI/market (all)+32.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 84 +60.6% +45.3% 39% 39% +12.8%
≤30d 1143 +45.9% +32.0% 36% 34% +32.7%
≤90d 1143 +45.9% +32.0% 36% 34% +32.7%
all 1143 +45.9% +32.0% 36% 34% +32.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover124.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to15%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +32.0% 34% +32.7%
10% ← realistic here +19.4% 32% +20.0%
15% +7.9% 31% +8.4%
20% -2.7% 30% -2.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $123.72 · official $125.73 · 3500 history records