Wallet analysis

2026-06-16T01:45:47+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
34 0x34fd…32f4 crypto 34 markets active 2h ago coverage 1d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (55 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ only 1d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage
Total PnL −$15 (-3%) realized −$15 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -6% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -28% what you keep after slip
Net edge-28%after slip
Net WR12%break-even
Win rate79%27W / 7L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$13per market
Trades / day55.0pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 1d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$13
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (55 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +12%
net ROI/market (all)-15.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 34 -6.5% -15.4% 79% 12% -12.1%
≤30d 34 -6.5% -15.4% 79% 12% -12.1%
≤90d 34 -6.5% -15.4% 79% 12% -12.1%
all 34 -6.5% -15.4% 79% 12% -12.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover55.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -15.4% 12% -12.1%
10% ← realistic here -23.5% 9% -20.5%
15% -30.9% 0% -28.2%
20% -37.7% 0% -35.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 25% · top 2 36% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -3% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
85% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -7% · $-wt -3% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -11% → late -2% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.1 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$1 vs −$5 · ×0.17 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.65 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

1d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$15
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)79%
Wins / losses27 / 7
Open positions0
Markets (closed)34 / 34
History coverage1d
Avg bet$13
Trades / day55.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 34 Trades
no open positions (4 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 16 $20 +$2 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 16 $20 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 15 $25 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 15 $5 −$1 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 15 $20 +$6 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 15 $20 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 15 $20 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 15 $5 +$2 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 15 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 15 $20 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 15 $20 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 15 $5 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 15 $20 +$2 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 15 $10 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 15 $10 +$3 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 15 $10 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 15 $50 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 15 $10 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 15 $10 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 15 $55 +$1 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $22 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $20 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $21 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $20 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $20 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET SELL Down 60¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET BUY Down 68¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET SELL Up 91¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET BUY Up 89¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET SELL Down 95¢ $26 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET BUY Down 72¢ $20 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Down 79¢ $5 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $20 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $20 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $20 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $5 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $5 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $5 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $5 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $5 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 74¢ $5 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Down 93¢ $20 13h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 69 history records