trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | -3.2% | -12.4% | 0% | 0% | -12.4% |
| ≤30d | 1 | -3.2% | -12.4% | 0% | 0% | -12.4% |
| ≤90d | 4 | -57.7% | -61.7% | 0% | 0% | -30.3% |
| all | 9 | -65.2% | -68.5% | 11% | 11% | -33.6% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -68.5% | 11% | -33.6% |
| 10% | -71.5% | 11% | -39.9% |
| 15% | -74.3% | 11% | -45.7% |
| 20% | -76.8% | 0% | -51.1% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| World Cup Goals H2H: Messi vs. Ronaldo | Messi | 65¢ | 88¢ | $140 | $191 | +$51 (+37%) |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026? | No | 86¢ | 88¢ | $150 | $153 | +$3 (+2%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Eisenkot join the Bennett-Lapid alliance by June 30? | Jun 18 | $441 | −$14 | -3% |
| Will Israel win Eurovision 2026? | May 16 | $10 | −$10 | -96% |
| Will Israel come in 3rd place at Eurovision 2026? | May 16 | $102 | −$100 | -98% |
| Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Coco Gauff vs Mirra Andreeva | May 12 | $48 | −$13 | -28% |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire before July? | Jun 29 | $25 | −$25 | -100% |
| Will Israel finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10? | May 17 | $20 | −$20 | -100% |
| Will Israel win Eurovision 2025? | May 17 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will Barcelona win on 2025-05-06? | May 06 | $4 | −$3 | -78% |
| Will Inter vs. Barcelona end in a draw? | May 06 | $20 | +$9 | +44% |