trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 5 | -8.2% | -16.9% | 0% | 0% | -12.8% |
| ≤30d | 8 | -4.8% | -13.9% | 38% | 0% | -10.9% |
| ≤90d | 8 | -4.8% | -13.9% | 38% | 0% | -10.9% |
| all | 18 | -2.1% | -11.4% | 39% | 0% | -10.3% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -11.4% | 0% | -10.3% |
| 10% | -19.9% | 0% | -18.9% |
| 15% | -27.6% | 0% | -26.7% |
| 20% | -34.7% | 0% | -33.9% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cuban regime falls in 2026? | No | 83¢ | 82¢ | $36 | $35 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israel closes its airspace by June 30? | Jun 19 | $11 | −$4 | -38% |
| Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026 | Jun 19 | $37 | $0 | -1% |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31? | Jun 18 | $19 | $0 | -2% |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | Jun 18 | $37 | $0 | +0% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | Jun 17 | $37 | $0 | +0% |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30? | Jun 03 | $40 | $0 | +0% |
| Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026? | Jun 02 | $49 | $0 | +0% |
| Israel closes its airspace by May 31? | May 27 | $36 | +$1 | +2% |
| Will Trump meet with Yoon Suk Yeol in 2025? | Dec 23 | $2 | $0 | +4% |
| Will the US officially declare war on Iran before July? | Dec 15 | $2 | $0 | +2% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before June? | Jun 03 | $1 | $0 | +2% |
| Will Trump pardon Edward Snowden in his first 100 days? | May 07 | $1 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Ethereum reach $2200 in April? | Apr 24 | $12 | $0 | -4% |
| Will the Giants draft Travis Hunter? | Apr 23 | $13 | $0 | -3% |
| Will Elena Lasconi win the most votes in the 1st round of the Romanian | Apr 23 | $3 | $0 | -1% |
| Will Trump pardon Steve Bannon in his first 100 days? | Apr 23 | $108 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Solana reach $190 in April? | Apr 22 | $122 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will the New Democratic Party win the Northwest Territories seat in th | Apr 22 | $134 | $0 | -0% |