trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 14 | -20.7% | -28.2% | 43% | 36% | -8.0% |
| ≤30d | 15 | -26.0% | -33.0% | 40% | 33% | -9.7% |
| ≤90d | 15 | -26.0% | -33.0% | 40% | 33% | -9.7% |
| all | 15 | -26.0% | -33.0% | 40% | 33% | -9.7% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -33.0% | 33% | -9.7% |
| 10% | -39.4% | 33% | -18.3% |
| 15% | -45.3% | 27% | -26.2% |
| 20% | -50.6% | 27% | -33.4% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20? | Jun 21 | $203 | −$156 | -77% |
| Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-20? | Jun 21 | $53 | −$53 | -100% |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-20? | Jun 20 | $187 | +$266 | +142% |
| Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-20? | Jun 20 | $4 | −$4 | -100% |
| Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19? | Jun 20 | $119 | −$118 | -98% |
| Exact Score: Any Other Score? | Jun 20 | $498 | −$324 | -65% |
| Brazil vs. Haiti: Brazil O/U 3.5 | Jun 20 | $100 | +$34 | +34% |
| Will Scotland win on 2026-06-19? | Jun 19 | $100 | −$100 | -100% |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-19? | Jun 19 | $680 | +$19 | +3% |
| Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-18? | Jun 18 | $291 | +$188 | +65% |
| Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 18 | $194 | +$291 | +150% |
| Will Croatia win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $59 | −$58 | -98% |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 17 | $99 | +$58 | +59% |
| Will Iraq vs. Norway end in a draw? | Jun 16 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switz | May 28 | $49 | −$48 | -98% |