trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 2 | +45.3% | +31.4% | 100% | 50% | -8.3% |
| ≤30d | 2 | +45.3% | +31.4% | 100% | 50% | -8.3% |
| ≤90d | 7 | +19.1% | +7.8% | 71% | 57% | -51.5% |
| all | 30 | -2.4% | -11.7% | 53% | 27% | +8.8% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -11.7% | 27% | +8.8% |
| 10% | -20.1% | 27% | -1.6% |
| 15% | -27.8% | 23% | -11.1% |
| 20% | -34.9% | 20% | -19.8% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Argentina vs. Austria end in a draw? | No | 78¢ | 84¢ | $7,000 | $7,583 | +$583 (+8%) |
| Argentina vs. Austria: O/U 2.5 | Under | 49¢ | 82¢ | $800 | $1,337 | +$537 (+67%) |
| Exact Score: Jordan 3 - 3 Algeria? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | $1,000 | $995 | −$5 (-0%) |
| Argentina vs. Austria: O/U 2.5 | Over | 49¢ | 18¢ | $2,000 | $714 | −$1,286 (-64%) |
| Will Jordan win on 2026-06-22? | No | 85¢ | 84¢ | $300 | $298 | −$2 (-1%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET | Jun 22 | $4 | +$4 | +90% |
| Exact Score: Spain 1 - 2 Saudi Arabia? | Jun 22 | $1,000 | +$10 | +1% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET | May 10 | $1 | +$1 | +118% |
| Will FC Augsburg vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach end in a draw? | May 10 | $101 | +$33 | +32% |
| Will Urawa Red Diamonds win on 2026-05-09? | May 09 | $1,015 | −$1,000 | -98% |
| 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 vs. 1. FC Union Berlin: O/U 2.5 | Apr 11 | $100 | −$98 | -98% |
| Clippers vs. Warriors | Apr 11 | $20 | +$18 | +92% |
| RC Celta de Vigo vs. RCD Mallorca: O/U 2.5 | Feb 23 | $4,600 | +$3,764 | +82% |
| West Ham United FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 2.5 | Feb 22 | $1,788 | +$2,797 | +156% |
| Club Atlético de Madrid vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona: O/U 2.5 | Feb 21 | $4,431 | −$4,431 | -100% |
| SV 07 Elversberg vs. Eintracht Braunschweig: O/U 2.5 | Feb 21 | $53 | −$53 | -100% |
| Hull City AFC vs. Queens Park Rangers FC: O/U 2.5 | Feb 21 | $276 | −$276 | -100% |
| Melbourne City FC vs. Melbourne Victory FC: O/U 2.5 | Feb 21 | $128 | −$128 | -100% |
| 1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. Hamburger SV: O/U 2.5 | Feb 21 | $3,173 | +$3,578 | +113% |
| Xi Jinping out before 2027? | Feb 20 | $20 | +$2 | +10% |
| Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 | Jan 28 | $240 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Curtis Sliwa drop out? | Dec 16 | $240 | +$1 | +0% |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting? | Nov 03 | $100 | +$1 | +1% |
| Will the U.S. take over Gaza in 2025? | Oct 13 | $1,139 | −$5 | -0% |
| Will Trump visit Israel by October 15? | Oct 13 | $1,123 | −$2 | -0% |
| Putin out as President of Russia in 2025? | Oct 13 | $1,135 | −$6 | -0% |
| Will China invade Taiwan in 2025? | Oct 13 | $30 | $0 | -2% |
| Will Israel strike 1 country in October 2025? | Oct 13 | $10 | $0 | -4% |
| Trump election interference trial doesn't start before November? | Oct 12 | $11 | $0 | +1% |
| Mavericks vs. Thunder | Dec 11 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Timberwolves vs. Kings | Nov 15 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Eric Adams indicted in 2024? | Oct 24 | $15 | $0 | +0% |
| RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August? | Sep 26 | $15 | +$1 | +4% |
| Solana above $165 on July 26? | Aug 25 | $9 | +$4 | +47% |
| Will ETH or SOL reach all-time high first? | Jul 20 | $13 | −$2 | -13% |