Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T21:26:24+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

35
0x352f…c1ad
crypto · 909 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$41 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$41 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$41
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)95%
Wins / losses873 / 46
Open positions0
Markets (closed)919 / 909
History coverage11d
Avg bet$57
Trades / day238.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 919 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$158
7 days−$85
14 days−$41
30 days−$41
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Up 94¢ 0¢ $200 $0 −$200 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Up 92¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Down 96¢ 0¢ $40 $0 −$40 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Up 91¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Down 99¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Up 96¢ 0¢ $200 $0 −$200 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Up 93¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Down 94¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Up 79¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Up 96¢ 0¢ $60 $0 −$60 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Up 91¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Up 94¢ 0¢ $200 $0 −$200 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Down 94¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Down 92¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Down 93¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Up 82¢ 0¢ $40 $0 −$40 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Down 94¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Up 98¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Down 99¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Down 95¢ 0¢ $200 $0 −$200 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Down 95¢ 0¢ $80 $0 −$80 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Down 91¢ 0¢ $40 $0 −$40 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Up 90¢ 0¢ $84 $0 −$84 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Up 89¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Up 90¢ 0¢ $200 $0 −$200 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 12 $60 −$60 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 12 $40 −$40 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 12 $100 −$100 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 12 $100 −$100 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 12 $60 −$60 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 12 $40 −$40 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 12 $50 −$50 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $40 −$40 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 12 $80 +$6 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 12 $201 +$7 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 12 $201 +$16 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 12 $40 +$6 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 12 $201 +$11 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 12 $40 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 12 $40 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 12 $201 +$19 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 12 $193 +$16 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 12 $201 +$15 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 12 $201 +$7 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 12 $40 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 12 $81 +$8 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 12 $120 +$6 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 12 $40 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 12 $80 +$6 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 12 $201 +$9 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 12 $201 +$15 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 12 $40 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 12 $40 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 12 $40 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 12 $40 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 12 $201 +$7 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $40 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 12 $40 +$2 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 12 $40 +$7 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 12 $161 +$13 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $201 −$200 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 12 $160 +$6 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $189 +$12 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 12 $80 +$5 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $40 +$2 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 12 $121 +$13 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 12 $40 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 12 $201 +$13 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 12 $80 +$3 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 12 $40 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 12 $201 +$9 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 12 $121 +$9 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 12 $201 +$12 +6%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$459
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $40 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $40 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $40 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $40 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $40 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $40 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $40 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $40 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $40 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $40 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $40 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $40 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET BUY Up 86¢ $40 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $40 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $40 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $40 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $40 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $40 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $40 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $40 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $40 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $40 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $40 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $40 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $40 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $40 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $40 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $32 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $40 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $40 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +4%
net ROI/market (all)-9.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 552 -0.3% -9.8% 94% 5% -9.7%
≤30d 919 -0.1% -9.6% 95% 4% -9.6%
≤90d 919 -0.1% -9.6% 95% 4% -9.6%
all 919 -0.1% -9.6% 95% 4% -9.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover238.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.6% 4% -9.6%
10% ← realistic here -18.3% 0% -18.2%
15% -26.2% 0% -26.1%
20% -33.4% 0% -33.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records