Wallet analysis

2026-06-18T21:35:00+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
35 0x353c…ea3a crypto 36 markets active 1h ago coverage 1d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (65 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ only 1d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL +$14 (+7%) realized +$14 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -20% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -38% what you keep after slip
Net edge-38%after slip
Net WR42%break-even
Win rate44%16W / 20L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$6per market
Trades / day65.0pace
Kalshi-fit94%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 1d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 98% +$9
other 2% −$4
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (65 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +42%
net ROI/market (all)-27.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 36 -19.9% -27.5% 44% 42% -6.8%
≤30d 36 -19.9% -27.5% 44% 42% -6.8%
≤90d 36 -19.9% -27.5% 44% 42% -6.8%
all 36 -19.9% -27.5% 44% 42% -6.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover65.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -27.5% 42% -6.8%
10% ← realistic here -34.4% 42% -15.7%
15% -40.8% 39% -23.8%
20% -46.6% 39% -31.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 23% · top 2 38% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +3% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
6% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -20% · $-wt +3% edge needs big-bet sizing — not flat-copyable
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -37% → late -2% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.2 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$5 vs −$4 · ×1.34 wins ≈ losses
Profit factor
×1.07 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

1d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$14
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)44%
Wins / losses16 / 20
Open positions0
Markets (closed)36 / 36
History coverage1d
Avg bet$6
Trades / day65.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit94%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 36 Trades
no open positions (11 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 18 $2 +$2 +114%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 18 $10 +$9 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 18 $4 −$4 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 18 $8 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 18 $13 −$2 -15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 18 $33 +$18 +54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 18 $17 −$16 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 18 $9 −$9 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 18 $4 −$4 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 18 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 18 $2 +$2 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 18 $2 +$1 +56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 18 $4 +$4 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 18 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 18 $4 +$3 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 18 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 18 $2 +$2 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 18 $2 +$2 +82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 18 $1 +$1 +82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 18 $8 +$7 +81%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 18 $13 −$8 -64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 18 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 18, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 18 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 18 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 18 $4 −$4 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 18, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 18 $3 −$3 -85%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 18 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 18 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 18 $10 +$12 +121%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 18 $9 +$12 +144%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 18 $1 $0 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 18 $7 +$4 +57%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Up 44¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $19 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET SELL Up 95¢ $9 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Up 87¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Up 22¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET SELL Down 82¢ $16 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET SELL Up 96¢ $51 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $33 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $17 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Down 32¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $4 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET SELL Down 90¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $8 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $4 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $7 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $4 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Down 39¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $4 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET SELL Up 85¢ $4 4h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 75 history records