Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T22:34:36+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

35
0x3541…8f2a
crypto · 35 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$152 -14%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$82 · open −$70
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$115
Realized−$82
Unrealized−$70
Win rate (resolved)47%
Wins / losses15 / 17
Est. fees paid−$12
Open positions3
Markets (closed)32 / 35
History coverage2d
Avg bet$32
Trades / day36.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit94%
Chart Positions 3 History 32 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$60
7 days−$82
14 days−$82
30 days−$82
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
T20 Series West Indies vs Sri lanka: West Indies vs Sri Lanka West Indies 58¢ 57¢ $98 $97 −$1 (-1%)
United States vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score Yes 46¢ 46¢ $18 $18 −$0 (-1%)
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Yes 54¢ 0¢ $69 $0 −$69 (-100%)
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 216.5 Over 50¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Up 33¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Down 32¢ 0¢ $45 $0 −$45 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Down 37¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Up 63¢ 0¢ $48 $0 −$48 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Knicks vs. Spurs Jun 12 $177 −$11 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 12 $47 −$45 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 12 $7 +$27 +398%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -94%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score Jun 12 $74 −$4 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 12 $18 +$3 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 12 $65 +$5 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 12 $49 −$48 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 12 $9 −$7 -73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 12 $35 −$28 -80%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 12 $29 +$7 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 12 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 12 $31 +$8 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $14 +$3 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 12 $51 +$13 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 12 $30 +$5 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 12 $39 +$7 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 12 $25 +$4 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 12 $35 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 12 $25 +$6 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 12 $30 −$1 -4%
T20 ACC Premier Cup, Women: Hong Kong, China vs United Arab Emirates Jun 12 $6 −$6 -92%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 12 $25 +$4 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
T20 Series West Indies vs Sri lanka: West Indies vs Sri Lanka Jun 12 $26 +$22 +88%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 11 $14 +$11 +79%
Will Portugal vs. Nigeria end in a draw? Jun 10 $10 −$8 -77%
Will Nigeria win on 2026-06-10? Jun 10 $2 $0 -23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 10 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 10 $5 −$5 -100%
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 216.5 Jun 10 $3 −$3 -98%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 55% −$83
sports 38% +$1
other 6% −$69
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
T20 Series West Indies vs Sri lanka: West Indies vs Sri Lanka BUY West Indies 58¢ $99 28m
United States vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 46¢ $18 29m
Knicks vs. Spurs SELL Knicks 35¢ $117 30m
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Knicks 36¢ $125 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET BUY Down 32¢ $47 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET BUY Down 19¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET BUY Down 1¢ $4 1h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 54¢ $70 4h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score SELL Yes 45¢ $70 4h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 46¢ $74 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET SELL Up 77¢ $21 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Up 65¢ $9 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Up 63¢ $9 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $65 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Up 62¢ $4 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Up 57¢ $9 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $36 6h
Knicks vs. Spurs SELL Knicks 35¢ $48 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET SELL Up 11¢ $2 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Up 37¢ $9 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET SELL Up 18¢ $7 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Up 83¢ $35 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Down 79¢ $29 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $10 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 64¢ $6 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Down 86¢ $20 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Down 69¢ $11 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET SELL Up 93¢ $17 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Up 83¢ $4 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Up 72¢ $10 7h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +41%
net ROI/market (all)-23.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 32 -15.2% -23.3% 47% 41% -17.5%
≤30d 32 -15.2% -23.3% 47% 41% -17.5%
≤90d 32 -15.2% -23.3% 47% 41% -17.5%
all 32 -15.2% -23.3% 47% 41% -17.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover36.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -23.3% 41% -17.5%
10% ← realistic here -30.6% 22% -25.4%
15% -37.3% 9% -32.6%
20% -43.5% 9% -39.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $114.54 · official $114.54 (match) · 93 history records