Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T09:48:19+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

35
0x3546…ef67
crypto · 27 markets active 7h ago
2.0score
+$19,931 +65%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$19,652 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✓ COPY-WORTHY crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$19,652
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)74%
Wins / losses20 / 7
Whale WR (big bets)100%
Open positions0
Markets (closed)27 / 27
History coverage1d
Avg bet$1,141
Trades / day750.5
Drawdown5%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 27 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$19,652
7 days+$19,652
14 days+$19,652
30 days+$19,652
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Down 3¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Down 15¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Up 8¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Down 38¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 14 $422 +$422 +100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 14 $2,681 +$3,656 +136%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 14 $2,796 +$4,829 +173%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Jun 14 $1,433 −$29 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET Jun 14 $625 +$1,416 +227%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 13 $1,490 +$158 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 13 $4,024 +$405 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 13 $11 −$10 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Jun 13 $518 −$85 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Jun 13 $353 +$40 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 13 $983 +$22 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 13 $203 +$49 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 13 $601 +$140 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 13 $1,356 +$40 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jun 13 $465 −$8 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Jun 13 $1,051 +$172 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Jun 13 $71 +$14 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Jun 13 $576 −$194 -34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 13 $1,022 +$89 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Jun 13 $3,047 +$4,571 +150%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 13 $53 −$50 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 13 $1,325 −$920 -69%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 13 $2,734 +$2,892 +106%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 13 $563 +$57 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 13 $229 +$145 +63%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 13 $109 +$97 +89%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 12 $2,063 +$1,734 +84%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$19,652
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $2 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $5 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $5 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $5 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $22 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $10 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $2 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $20 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $3 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $4 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $5 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $8 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $2 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $2 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $56 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $2 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $2 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $5 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $10 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $5 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $4 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $2 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $50 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $15 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $15 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $19 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $7 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $21 6h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
worth copying (survives realistic slippage)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +63%
net ROI/market (all)+181.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 27 +211.6% +181.9% 74% 63% +54.1%
≤30d 27 +211.6% +181.9% 74% 63% +54.1%
≤90d 27 +211.6% +181.9% 74% 63% +54.1%
all 27 +211.6% +181.9% 74% 63% +54.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover750.5 tr/day
realistic slip~15%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +181.9% 63% +54.1%
10% +155.0% 52% +39.3%
15% ← realistic here +130.3% 44% +25.9%
20% +107.7% 44% +13.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 922 history records