Wallet analysis

2026-06-15T03:29:05+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
35 0x354a…ae3e crypto 834 markets active 2h ago coverage 9d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (259 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL −$1,566 (-30%) realized −$365 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -2% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -25% what you keep after slip
Net edge-25%after slip
Net WR29%break-even
Win rate74%618W / 216L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$6per market
Trades / day258.6pace
Kalshi-fit78%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$3
7 days−$452
14 days−$365
30 days−$365
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 92% −$327
other 8% −$38
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (259 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +29%
net ROI/market (all)-11.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 234 -36.1% -42.2% 32% 21% -19.9%
≤30d 834 -2.5% -11.8% 74% 29% -15.9%
≤90d 834 -2.5% -11.8% 74% 29% -15.9%
all 834 -2.5% -11.8% 74% 29% -15.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover258.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -11.8% 29% -15.9%
10% ← realistic here -20.2% 17% -23.9%
15% -27.9% 11% -31.3%
20% -35.0% 7% -38.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 12% · top 2 24% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -7% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
59% wins margin < slip thin win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -2% · $-wt -7% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +11% → late -16% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
2.9 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$1 vs −$4 · ×0.21 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.61 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

9d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$365
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)74%
Wins / losses618 / 216
Open positions0
Markets (closed)834 / 834
History coverage9d
Avg bet$6
Trades / day258.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit78%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 834 Trades
no open positions (3 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 15 $13 −$1 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 15 $49 −$7 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 15 $20 −$3 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 15 $26 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 15 $37 −$3 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 15 $49 −$1 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 15 $47 −$9 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 15 $40 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 15 $26 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 15 $24 −$1 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 15 $49 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 15 $38 −$2 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 14 $7 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 14 $49 +$68 +138%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 14 $24 +$4 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 13 $41 −$17 -42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 13 $48 −$41 -87%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 13 $52 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 13 $49 −$4 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 13 $50 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 13 $49 +$6 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 13 $47 +$3 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 13 $55 −$21 -38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 13 $19 +$2 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 13 $14 −$1 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 12 $42 −$4 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$1 -17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 12 $17 −$7 -40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 12 $7 −$2 -32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 12 $36 −$5 -13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 12 $37 −$6 -17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 12 $12 −$1 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 12 $20 −$13 -64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 12 $19 −$5 -26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 12 $23 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 12 $15 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 12 $15 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 12 $14 −$9 -64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 12 $14 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 12 $9 +$2 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$2 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 12 $15 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$2 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 12 $20 −$6 -32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 12 $16 +$2 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 12 $21 +$4 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 12 $18 −$2 -13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 12 $7 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 12 $6 +$1 +16%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET BUY Down 83¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET BUY Up 18¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET BUY Down 71¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET BUY Up 23¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET BUY Down 81¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET BUY Down 81¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET BUY Up 38¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Down 67¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Down 84¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Up 21¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Up 7¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Down 88¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Down 89¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Up 12¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Down 78¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Down 78¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Up 14¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Down 87¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Down 66¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Up 34¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Up 46¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Down 43¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Down 43¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $3 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records