trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Spain win Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 79¢ | 80¢ | $14 | $14 | +$0 (+1%) |
| Will Argentina win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 71¢ | 72¢ | $13 | $13 | +$0 (+0%) |
| Will France win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 66¢ | 66¢ | $9 | $9 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Will Germany win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 68¢ | 66¢ | $4 | $4 | −$0 (-2%) |
| Will England win Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 69¢ | 70¢ | $2 | $2 | +$0 (+2%) |
| Will Curacao advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 93¢ | 92¢ | $2 | $2 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Will Mexico win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 63¢ | 62¢ | $2 | $2 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Will Jordan advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 81¢ | 78¢ | $2 | $2 | −$0 (-4%) |
| Will Belgium win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 69¢ | 69¢ | $1 | $1 | +$0 (+1%) |
| Will Croatia win Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 78¢ | 78¢ | $1 | $1 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Will Brazil win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 73¢ | 72¢ | $1 | $1 | −$0 (-2%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Senegal win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 10 | $1 | $0 | -3% |
| Spread: Mexico (-2.5) | Jun 08 | $1 | $0 | -10% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 2 | -6.4% | -15.3% | 0% | 0% | -15.3% |
| ≤30d | 2 | -6.4% | -15.3% | 0% | 0% | -15.3% |
| ≤90d | 2 | -6.4% | -15.3% | 0% | 0% | -15.3% |
| all | 2 | -6.4% | -15.3% | 0% | 0% | -15.3% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal | -15.3% | 0% | -15.3% |
| 10% ← realistic here | -23.4% | 0% | -23.4% |
| 15% | -30.8% | 0% | -30.8% |
| 20% | -37.6% | 0% | -37.6% |