Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T20:59:52+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

35
0x3556…5c8b
crypto · 58 markets active 1h ago
0.5score
+$1 +1%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$1 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$1
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)64%
Wins / losses37 / 21
Open positions0
Markets (closed)58 / 58
History coverage2d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day73.3
Drawdown92%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 58 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$1
7 days+$1
14 days+$1
30 days+$1
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Up 65¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Down 91¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Up 62¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Down 13¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Bitcoin reach $64,000 on June 13? No 22¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Up 22¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Down 81¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$1 -32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$2 -59%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 13 $4 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -99%
Will Bitcoin reach $64,000 on June 13? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -95%
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 on June 12? Jun 13 $10 +$2 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +91%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +109%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 12? Jun 12 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$1 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$1 -40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$2 -40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$2 -38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$1 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$1 -24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +7%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET BUY Down 63¢ $1 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET SELL Down 60¢ $3 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Up 65¢ $1 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Down 41¢ $2 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET SELL Up 3¢ $0 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Down 88¢ $1 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Up 39¢ $2 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Down 89¢ $2 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Down 78¢ $1 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET SELL Up 91¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Down 13¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET SELL Up 65¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Up 39¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET SELL Down 63¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Down 44¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET SELL Up 69¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET SELL Down 43¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET SELL Up 2¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Up 34¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Down 81¢ $1 1h
Will Bitcoin reach $64,000 on June 13? BUY No 22¢ $1 13h
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 on June 12? BUY No 82¢ $10 28h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET SELL Down 79¢ $2 28h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Down 39¢ $1 28h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET SELL Up 90¢ $2 28h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Up 41¢ $1 28h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET SELL Down 70¢ $4 28h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +47%
net ROI/market (all)-13.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 58 -4.1% -13.3% 64% 47% -8.6%
≤30d 58 -4.1% -13.3% 64% 47% -8.6%
≤90d 58 -4.1% -13.3% 64% 47% -8.6%
all 58 -4.1% -13.3% 64% 47% -8.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover73.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -13.3% 47% -8.6%
10% ← realistic here -21.6% 36% -17.3%
15% -29.1% 24% -25.3%
20% -36.1% 17% -32.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 172 history records