Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T11:27:06+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
35 0x356b…df30 crypto 1943 markets active 1d ago coverage 23d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 22d only
✗ bot/MM pace (87 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL −$36 (-0%) realized −$36 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -7% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -28% what you keep after slip
Net edge-28%after slip
Net WR30%break-even
Win rate75%1516W / 504L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$10per market
Trades / day87.2pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$294
7 days−$278
14 days−$270
30 days−$63
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$200
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (87 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +30%
net ROI/market (all)-15.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 443 -32.7% -39.1% 41% 41% -25.3%
≤30d 2020 -6.6% -15.5% 75% 30% -9.8%
≤90d 2020 -6.6% -15.5% 75% 30% -9.8%
all 2020 -6.6% -15.5% 75% 30% -9.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover87.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -15.5% 30% -9.8%
10% ← realistic here -23.6% 26% -18.4%
15% -31.0% 23% -26.3%
20% -37.7% 20% -33.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 2% · top 2 2% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -0% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
58% wins margin < slip thin win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -7% · $-wt -0% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +1% → late -14% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
1.0 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$1 vs −$4 · ×0.32 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.96 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

23d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$36
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)75%
Wins / losses1516 / 504
Open positions0
Markets (closed)2020 / 1943
History coverage23d ⚠
Avg bet$10
Trades / day87.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 2020 Trades
no open positions (500 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 20, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 20, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 14, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 13, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 21, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 13, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 17 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 17 $0 $0 -346%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 14, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 14, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 22, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 16, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 16, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 16, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 13, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $4 28h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $4 28h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $4 29h
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $4 29h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $4 29h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $4 29h
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $4 29h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $2 29h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $4 30h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $4 30h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET BUY Up 31¢ $4 30h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $4 30h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $4 30h
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $4 30h
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $4 30h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $4 30h
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $4 30h
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET BUY Up 39¢ $4 30h
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $4 31h
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET BUY Down 43¢ $4 31h
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $4 31h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $4 32h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $4 32h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $4 32h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $4 32h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $4 32h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET BUY Up 32¢ $4 32h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $4 32h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $4 32h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $4 33h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records