trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 8.5 Total Corners | Jun 14 | $2 | −$2 | -93% |
| Will Qatar advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 13 | $50 | +$1 | +1% |
| Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 13 | $20 | $0 | -2% |
| United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5 | Jun 13 | $5 | +$4 | +83% |
| United States vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score | Jun 13 | $8 | +$7 | +92% |
| Will the announcers say "Yellow Card" during the USA vs Paraguay FIFA | Jun 13 | $100 | +$3 | +3% |
| Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 12 | $5 | +$14 | +276% |
| Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 11 | $20 | −$20 | -99% |
| Will Luis Diaz sign with a new club during the transfer window? | Feb 16 | $20 | +$4 | +18% |
| Will Chelsea win in regulation? | Feb 16 | $10 | +$46 | +456% |
| Will Julián Alvarez sign with a new club during the transfer window? | Feb 16 | $100 | +$8 | +8% |
| Will Chelsea win the FIFA Club World Cup? | Feb 16 | $50 | +$142 | +285% |
| Will Alexander Isak sign with a new club during the transfer window? | Jul 17 | $50 | −$50 | -100% |
| Will Chelsea win in extra time? | Jul 12 | $20 | −$20 | -100% |
| Will Chelsea win in penalties? | Jul 12 | $20 | −$20 | -100% |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | Jul 11 | $600 | +$436 | +73% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 8 | +32.5% | +19.9% | 62% | 38% | -6.4% |
| ≤30d | 8 | +32.5% | +19.9% | 62% | 38% | -6.4% |
| ≤90d | 8 | +32.5% | +19.9% | 62% | 38% | -6.4% |
| all | 16 | +49.9% | +35.6% | 62% | 44% | +36.8% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +35.6% | 44% | +36.8% |
| 10% | +22.7% | 38% | +23.7% |
| 15% | +10.8% | 38% | +11.7% |
| 20% | -0.1% | 38% | +0.8% |